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宁夏银星能源股份有限公司发行股份购买资产并募集配套资金暨关联交易报告书摘要 2014-02-12 来源:证券时报网 作者:
(上接B10版) 牛首山一期二期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——宁电风光 | 经营周期 | Year1 | Year2 | Year3 | Year4 | Year5 | Year6 | Year7 | Year8 | Year9 | Year10 | | 电站总容量 | | 9.90 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.9 | | 有效利用小时 | | 1,720.00 | 1720 | 1720 | 1720 | 1720 | 1720 | 1720 | 1720 | 1720 | | 发电量 | | 17,028.00 | 17028 | 17028 | 17028 | 17028 | 17028 | 17028 | 17028 | 17028 | | 线损 | | 3.10% | 3.10% | 3.10% | 3.10% | 3.10% | 3.10% | 3.10% | 3.10% | 3.10% | | 上网电量 | | 16,500.13 | 16,500.13 | 16,500.13 | 16,500.13 | 16,500.13 | 16,500.13 | 16,500.13 | 16,500.13 | 16,500.13 | | 单价 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | | 营业收入 | | 8,320.58 | 8,320.58 | 8,320.58 | 8,320.58 | 8,320.58 | 8,320.58 | 8,320.58 | 8,320.58 | 8,320.58 | | 折旧与摊销 | | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | | 其他营业成本 | 90.00 | 891.00 | 891.00 | 891.00 | 891.00 | 891.00 | 891.00 | 891.00 | 891.00 | 891.00 | | 贷款额 | 55,687.50 | 51,975.00 | 48,262.50 | 44,550.00 | 40,837.50 | 37,125.00 | 33,412.50 | 29,700.00 | 25,987.50 | 22,275.00 | | 财务费用 | | 3,525.95 | 3,282.78 | 3,039.61 | 2,796.44 | 2,553.27 | 2,310.10 | 2,066.93 | 1,823.77 | 1,580.60 | | 税金附加 | 6% | 75.78 | 75.78 | 75.78 | 75.78 | 75.78 | 75.78 | 75.78 | 75.78 | 75.78 | | 补贴收入 | | 707.25 | 707.25 | 707.25 | 707.25 | 707.25 | 707.25 | 707.25 | 707.25 | 707.25 | | 利润总额 | | 1,008.23 | 1,251.39 | 1,494.56 | 1,737.73 | 1,980.90 | 2,224.07 | 2,467.24 | 2,710.41 | 2,953.58 | | 所得税率 | | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 所得税 | | - | - | - | 217.22 | 247.61 | 278.01 | 616.81 | 677.60 | 738.39 |
| 净利润 | | 1,008.23 | 1,251.39 | 1,494.56 | 1,520.51 | 1,733.29 | 1,946.06 | 1,850.43 | 2,032.80 | 2,215.18 | | 折旧与摊销 | | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | | 资本性支出 | 74,250.00 | | | | | | | | | | | 借款变动 | 55,687.50 | -3,712.50 | -3,712.50 | -3,712.50 | -3,712.50 | -3,712.50 | -3,712.50 | -3,712.50 | -3,712.50 | -3,712.50 | | 股权现金流 | -18,562.50 | 822.60 | 1,065.77 | 1,308.94 | 1,334.89 | 1,547.66 | 1,760.44 | 1,664.80 | 1,847.18 | 2,029.56 | | 折现率(r) | 14.05% | 13.58% | 13.12% | 12.66% | 11.55% | 11.15% | 10.74% | 9.87% | 9.52% | 9.18% | | 折现系数 | 0.88 | 0.77 | 0.68 | 0.61 | 0.54 | 0.49 | 0.44 | 0.40 | 0.37 | 0.34 | | 折现值 | -16,276.13 | 635.02 | 727.32 | 792.92 | 724.88 | 756.13 | 776.65 | 668.47 | 677.20 | 681.52 | | 折现值加和 | 219.71 | | | | | | | | | | | 年金永续 | 258.66 | | | | | | | | | | | NPV2 | 40.49 | | | | | | | | | | | 总投资 | 74,250.00 | | | | | | | | | | | 造价(千)/万千瓦 | 7,500.00 | | | | | | | | | |
牛首山一期二期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——宁电风光(续表) | 经营周期 | Year11 | Year12 | Year13 | Year14 | Year15 | Year16 | Year17 | Year18 | Year19 | Year20 | Year21 | | 电站总容量 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.9 | | 有效利用小时 | 1720 | 1720 | 1720 | 1720 | 1720 | 1720 | 1720 | 1720 | 1720 | 1720 | 1720 | | 发电量 | 17028 | 17028 | 17028 | 17028 | 17028 | 17028 | 17028 | 17028 | 17028 | 17028 | 17028 | | 线损 | 3.10% | 3.10% | 3.10% | 3.10% | 3.10% | 3.10% | 3.10% | 3.10% | 3.10% | 3.10% | 3.10% | | 上网电量 | 16,500.13 | 16,500.13 | 16,500.13 | 16,500.13 | 16,500.13 | 16,500.13 | 16,500.13 | 16,500.13 | 16,500.13 | 16,500.13 | 16,500.13 | | 单价 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | | 营业收入 | 8,320.58 | 8,320.58 | 8,320.58 | 8,320.58 | 8,320.58 | 8,320.58 | 8,320.58 | 8,320.58 | 8,320.58 | 8,320.58 | 8,320.58 | | 折旧与摊销 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | | 其他营业成本 | 891.00 | 891.00 | 891.00 | 891.00 | 891.00 | 891.00 | 891.00 | 891.00 | 891.00 | 891.00 | 891.00 | | 贷款额 | 18,562.50 | 14,850.00 | 11,137.50 | 7,425.00 | 3,712.50 | - | | | | | | | 财务费用 | 1,337.43 | 1,094.26 | 851.09 | 607.92 | 364.75 | 121.58 | - | - | - | - | - | | 税金附加 | 75.78 | 75.78 | 75.78 | 75.78 | 75.78 | 75.78 | 75.78 | 75.78 | 75.78 | 75.78 | 75.78 | | 补贴收入 | 707.25 | 707.25 | 707.25 | 707.25 | 707.25 | 707.25 | 707.25 | 707.25 | 707.25 | 707.25 | 707.25 | | 利润总额 | 3,196.74 | 3,439.91 | 3,683.08 | 3,926.25 | 4,169.42 | 4,412.59 | 4,534.17 | 4,534.17 | 4,534.17 | 4,534.17 | 4,534.17 | | 所得税率 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 所得税 | 799.19 | 859.98 | 920.77 | 981.56 | 1,042.35 | 1,103.15 | 1,133.54 | 1,133.54 | 1,133.54 | 1,133.54 | 1,133.54 |
| 净利润 | 2,397.56 | 2,579.93 | 2,762.31 | 2,944.69 | 3,127.06 | 3,309.44 | 3,400.63 | 3,400.63 | 3,400.63 | 3,400.63 | 3,400.63 | | 折旧与摊销 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | 3,526.88 | | 资本性支出 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 借款变动 | -3,712.50 | -3,712.50 | -3,712.50 | -3,712.50 | -3,712.50 | -3,712.50 | - | - | - | - | - | | 股权现金流 | 2,211.93 | 2,394.31 | 2,576.69 | 2,759.06 | 2,941.44 | 3,123.82 | 6,927.50 | 6,927.50 | 6,927.50 | 6,927.50 | 6,927.50 | | 折现率(r) | 8.83% | 8.48% | 8.13% | 7.79% | 7.44% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | | 折现系数 | 0.31 | 0.28 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.15 | | 折现值 | 682.50 | 681.02 | 677.77 | 673.32 | 668.14 | 662.59 | 1,372.11 | 1,281.28 | 1,196.46 | 1,117.25 | 1,043.29 | | 折现值加和 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 年金永续 | | | | | | | | | | | | | NPV2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 总投资 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 造价(千)/万千瓦 | | | | | | | | | | | |
3、神州风电50%股权 (1)成本法评估情况 在持续经营前提下,神州风电于评估基准日的总资产账面价值为17,423.36万元,评估价值为13,762.27万元,减值额为3,661.09万元,减值率为21.01%;总负债账面价值为12,198.74万元,评估价值为12,198.74万元,增值额0.00万元,增值率0.00%;净资产账面价值为5,224.62万元,净资产评估价值为1,563.53万元,减值额为3,661.09万元,减值率为70.07%。 按中铝宁夏能源持有神州风电50%股权比例计算,中铝宁夏能源拥有的权益价值评估值为781.76万元,减值1,830.55万元,减值率为70.07%。各类资产及负债评估结果见下表。 单位:万元 | 项目 | 账面价值 | 评估价值 | 增减值 | 增值率% | | 1 | 流动资产 | 1,786.97 | 1,786.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | | 2 | 非流动资产 | 15,636.39 | 11,975.30 | -3,661.09 | -23.41 | | 3 | 其中:投资性房地产 | | | | | | 4 | 固定资产 | 15,631.72 | 11,968.67 | -3,663.05 | -23.43 | | 5 | 在建工程 | | | | | | 6 | 工程物资 | | | | | | 7 | 无形资产 | 4.67 | 6.63 | 1.96 | 41.97 | | 8 | 长期待摊费用 | | | | | | 9 | 递延所得税资产 | | | | | | 10 | 其他非流动资产 | | | | | | 11 | 资产总计 | 17,423.36 | 13,762.27 | -3,661.09 | -21.01 | | 12 | 流动负债 | 4,650.57 | 4,650.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | | 13 | 非流动负债 | 7,548.17 | 7,548.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | | 14 | 负债合计 | 12,198.74 | 12,198.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | | 15 | 股东全部权益 | 5,224.62 | 1,563.53 | -3,661.09 | -70.07 |
本次评估未考虑评估增值可能产生的所得税对股权价值的影响。 (2)收益法评估结果 在持续经营前提下,神州风电于评估基准日审计后的净资产账面价值为5,224.62万元,收益法评估值6,117.74万元,增值额893.12万元,增值率17.09%。 (3)评估结论的确定 神州风电在持续经营假设前提下具有独立获利能力,而成本法主要反映的是单个资产价值的简单加和,没有考虑各单项资产带来的协同效应,同时忽略了企业的盈利能力等因素。因此以收益法的评估结果作为最终评估结论,能够更加客观反映被评估单位的企业价值,恰当服务于本次评估目的。所以,本次评估以收益法的评估结果作为最终的评估结论,神州风电全部股东权益以收益法评估结果为6117.74万元,中铝宁夏能源持有的神州风电50%股权评估值为3,058.87万元。 (4)收益法评估结果与成本法评估结果比较 收益法评估结果比成本法评估结果多4,554.21万元,原因如下: ①成本法评估思路是各单项资产重置建造成本的加和,收益法评估思路认为被评估单位各单项资产有机结合,发挥协同效应并创造稳定收益,收益法评估是通过对被评估单位未来收益进行折现反映被评估单位客观价值。评估途径的差异,是导致评估结果不同的原因之一。 ②被评估单位开展风电业务较早,一方面,风场建造成本相对较高,另一方面,被评估单位各风场选址好,占据了有利的风力资源条件,所选风场全年均可发电,年平均发电小时较多,年上网电量也较高。被评估单位所处风场较好,是两种评估方法结果差异原因之一。 (5)成本法评估结果与账面值差异的分析 成本法评估结果较账面价值减值3,661.09万元,减值率70.07%,减值原因如下: ①房屋建筑物类资产:评估原值增值125.15万元,增值率55.00%;评估净值增值138.37万元,增值率149.50%。评估值增值原因如下: a.本次评估的部分建(构)筑物大多始建于2004年左右,当时房屋构筑物的建设成本较低,而近年来宁夏当地的建筑材料价格及人工成本等持续走高,造成房屋建筑物及构筑物的建筑成本不断提高。 b.建(构)筑物的实际耐用年限长于会计的折旧年限,且被评估单位对房屋建筑物的维护状态较好,综合成新率较账面成新率高。 ②设备类资产:评估原值减值7,061.67万元,减值率28.30%;评估净值减值3,801.42万元,减值率24.46%。主要原因如下: a.机器设备:评估原值减值7,043.98万元,减值率28.36%,减值的主要原因是,随着风力发电机组的国产化,当前风机的市场价格比企业原始购置成本大幅下降;评估净值减值3,851.96万元,减值率24.82%,评估原值减值是评估净值减值的主要原因。 b.车辆:评估原值减值9.65万元,减值率9.32%,减值的主要原因是车辆的市场价格不断下跌;评估净值增值51.28万元,增值率362.07%,评估净值增值是企业计提折旧年限短于评估采用的经济寿命年限所致。 c.电子设备:评估原值减值8.04万元,减值率55.10%,减值的主要原因一是电子设备市场价格逐年走低,二是部分逾龄电子设备在评估中按二手价评估;评估净值减值0.74万元,减值率21.83%,评估原值减值是评估净值减值的主要原因。 ③无形资产—土地使用权:评估增值1.96万元,增值率41.79%,根据内蒙古正誉不动产评估咨询有限责任公司出具的《土地估价报告》,本次土地使用权评估增值主要原因为纳入评估范围的土地取得于2009年4月,被评估单位取得宗地时,周围区域比较荒凉,位置偏僻、市政配套差,原始取得成本主要为出让金及征地补偿费等,每平方米单价为46元,随着当地经济发展,委估宗地区域市政配套逐渐完善,委估宗地也达到了三通一平状态,本次评估对委估宗地设定为出让条件下计算的评估值,评估基准日的评估价为60元/平方米,上述几方面因素,使得委估宗地的土地使用权评估有所增值。 (6)预测期的现金流量情况(表中金额单位为万元) 收益法评估现金流量预测表——神州风电 | 项目 | 2013年6-12月 | 2014年 | 2015年 | 2016年 | 2017年 | 2018年 | 2019年 | 2020年 | 2021年 | 2022年 | 2023年 | | 一、营业收入 | 1,347.78 | 2,570.50 | 2,570.50 | 2,570.50 | 2,570.50 | 2,570.50 | 2,570.50 | 2,570.50 | 2,570.50 | 2,570.50 | 2,570.50 | | 减:营业成本 | 1,019.82 | 1,660.94 | 1,682.82 | 1,705.79 | 1,729.92 | 1,755.24 | 1,755.24 | 1,755.24 | 1,755.24 | 1,755.24 | 1,755.24 | | 其他业务成本 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 税金及附加 | 18.98 | 40.49 | 40.32 | 40.16 | 39.98 | 39.79 | 39.79 | 39.79 | 39.79 | 39.79 | 39.79 | | 营业费用 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 管理费用 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 财务费用 | 391.06 | 601.62 | 531.91 | 461.19 | 390.47 | 319.74 | 249.02 | 145.02 | 107.21 | 107.21 | 107.21 | | 资产减值损失 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 加:公允变动净损益 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 投资收益 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 二、营业利润 | (82.10) | 267.46 | 315.44 | 363.36 | 410.14 | 455.72 | 526.44 | 630.45 | 668.26 | 668.26 | 668.26 | | 加:营业外收入 | 94.92 | 202.43 | 201.62 | 200.78 | 199.90 | 198.97 | 198.97 | 198.97 | 198.97 | 198.97 | 198.97 | | 减:营业外支出 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 三、利润总额 | 12.83 | 469.89 | 517.07 | 564.14 | 610.04 | 654.69 | 725.41 | 829.41 | 867.22 | 867.22 | 867.22 | | 所得税税率 | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 减:所得税 | 1.92 | 70.48 | 77.56 | 84.62 | 91.51 | 98.20 | 108.81 | 124.41 | 216.81 | 216.81 | 216.81 | | 四、净利润 | 10.90 | 399.40 | 439.51 | 479.52 | 518.53 | 556.48 | 616.60 | 705.00 | 650.42 | 650.42 | 650.42 | | 加:折旧及摊销 | 713.63 | 1,223.37 | 1,223.37 | 1,223.37 | 1,223.37 | 1,223.37 | 1,223.37 | 1,223.37 | 1,223.37 | 1,223.37 | 1,223.37 | | 减:资本性支出 | 14.44 | 24.76 | 24.76 | 24.76 | 24.76 | 24.76 | 24.76 | 24.76 | 24.76 | 24.76 | 24.76 | | 营运资本追加额 | (43.34) | (20.25) | (10.23) | (10.21) | (9.97) | (9.72) | (15.03) | (22.10) | 13.65 | - | | | 五、净现金流量 | 753.43 | 1,618.26 | 1,648.35 | 1,688.35 | 1,727.12 | 1,764.82 | 1,830.24 | 1,925.71 | 1,835.38 | 1,849.03 | 1,849.03 | | 加:借款变动额 | -1,112.65 | -1,064.20 | -1,079.73 | -1,079.73 | -1,079.73 | -1,079.73 | -1,587.86 | -577.19 | -0.00 | - | - | | 六、股权现金流量 | (359.22) | 554.06 | 568.62 | 608.62 | 647.39 | 685.09 | 242.38 | 1,348.52 | 1,835.38 | 1,849.03 | 1,849.03 | | 折现率(r) | 10.83% | 10.43% | 10.02% | 9.62% | 9.22% | 8.81% | 8.22% | 8.00% | 7.93% | 7.93% | 7.93% | | 折现期数(n) | 0.58 | 1.58 | 2.58 | 3.58 | 4.58 | 5.58 | 6.58 | 7.58 | 8.58 | 9.58 | 10.58 | | 折现系数 | 0.94 | 0.85 | 0.78 | 0.71 | 0.65 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.51 | 0.47 | 0.44 | 0.40 | | 折现值 | (338.32) | 472.54 | 440.78 | 430.39 | 419.18 | 407.67 | 133.28 | 686.59 | 865.79 | 808.13 | 748.75 | | 第一阶段回收残值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 永续期各项工程价值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 七、未来净现金流量折现值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 加:非经营性资产评估值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 溢余资产 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 减:非经营性负债评估值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 八、股东全部权益价值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 账面值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 增值额 | | | | | | | | | | | |
收益法评估现金流量预测表——神州风电(续表) | 项目 | 2024年 | 2025年 | 2026年 | 2027年 | 2028年 | | 一、营业收入 | 1,721.99 | 873.47 | 873.47 | 873.47 | | | 减:营业成本 | 1,755.24 | 1,199.28 | 636.60 | 636.60 | | | 其他业务成本 | | | | | | | 税金及附加 | 25.37 | 12.25 | 13.55 | 13.55 | | | 营业费用 | | | | | | | 管理费用 | | | | | | | 财务费用 | 107.21 | 107.21 | 107.21 | 107.21 | | | 资产减值损失 | | | | | | | 加:公允变动净损益 | | | | | | | 投资收益 | | | | | | | 二、营业利润 | (165.83) | (445.27) | 116.12 | 116.12 | | | 加:营业外收入 | 126.84 | 61.23 | 67.74 | 67.74 | | | 减:营业外支出 | | | | | | | 三、利润总额 | (38.99) | (384.04) | 183.85 | 183.85 | | | 所得税税率 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | | 减:所得税 | (9.75) | (96.01) | 45.96 | 45.96 | | | 四、净利润 | -29.24 | -288.03 | 137.89 | 137.89 | | | 加:折旧及摊销 | 1,223.37 | 844.70 | 459.31 | 459.31 | | | 减:资本性支出 | 24.76 | 24.76 | 24.76 | 24.76 | | | 营运资本追加额 | | | | | | | 五、净现金流量 | 1,169.37 | 531.91 | 572.44 | 572.44 | | | 加:借款增加额 | - | - | - | - | | | 减:借款减少额 | | | | | | | 六、股权现金流量 | 1,169.37 | 531.91 | 572.44 | 572.44 | | | 折现率(r) | 7.93% | 7.93% | 7.93% | 7.93% | | | 折现期数(n) | 11.58 | 12.58 | 13.58 | 14.58 | | | 折现系数 | 0.38 | 0.35 | 0.32 | 0.30 | | | 折现值 | 438.73 | 184.90 | 184.36 | 170.82 | | | 第一阶段回收残值 | | | | | 375.68 | | 永续期各项工程价值 | | | | | 493.40 | | 七、未来净现金流量折现值 | | | | | 6,922.66 | | 加:非经营性资产评估值 | | | | | 726.59 | | 溢余资产 | | | | | | | 减:非经营性负债评估值 | | | | | 1,531.51 | | 八、股东全部权益价值 | | | | | 6,117.74 | | 账面值 | | | | | 5,224.62 | | 增值额 | | | | | 893.12 |
贺兰山风电场二期扩建项目第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——神州风电 | 经营周期 | Year1 | Year2 | Year3 | Year4 | Year5 | Year6 | Year7 | Year8 | Year9 | Year10 | | 电站总容量 | | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | | 有效利用小时 | | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | | 发电量 | | 2047.5 | 2047.5 | 2047.5 | 2047.5 | 2047.5 | 2047.5 | 2047.5 | 2047.5 | 2047.5 | | 线损 | | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | | 上网电量 | | 1,994.12 | 1,994.12 | 1,994.12 | 1,994.12 | 1,994.12 | 1,994.12 | 1,994.12 | 1,994.12 | 1,994.12 | | 单价 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | | 营业收入 | | 920.69 | 920.69 | 920.69 | 920.69 | 920.69 | 920.69 | 920.69 | 920.69 | 920.69 | | 折旧与摊销 | | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | | 其他营业成本 | 100 | 105.00 | 105.00 | 105.00 | 105.00 | 105.00 | 105.00 | 105.00 | 105.00 | 105.00 | | 贷款额 | 3,937.50 | 3,675.00 | 3,412.50 | 3,150.00 | 2,887.50 | 2,625.00 | 2,362.50 | 2,100.00 | 1,837.50 | 1,575.00 | | 财务费用 | | 249.31 | 232.12 | 214.92 | 197.73 | 180.53 | 163.34 | 146.15 | 128.95 | 111.76 | | 税金附加 | 10% | 13.87 | 13.87 | 13.87 | 13.87 | 13.87 | 13.87 | 13.87 | 13.87 | 13.87 | | 补贴收入 | | 78.26 | 78.26 | 78.26 | 78.26 | 78.26 | 78.26 | 78.26 | 78.26 | 78.26 | | 利润总额 | | 256.71 | 273.90 | 291.09 | 308.29 | 325.48 | 342.67 | 359.87 | 377.06 | 394.26 | | 所得税率 | | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 所得税 | | - | - | - | 38.54 | 40.69 | 42.83 | 89.97 | 94.27 | 98.56 |
| 经营周期 | Year1 | Year2 | Year3 | Year4 | Year5 | Year6 | Year7 | Year8 | Year9 | Year10 | | 净利润 | | 256.71 | 273.90 | 291.09 | 269.75 | 284.80 | 299.84 | 269.90 | 282.80 | 295.69 | | 折旧与摊销 | | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | | 资本性支出 | 7,875.00 | | | | | | | | | | | 借款变动 | 3,937.50 | -262.50 | -262.50 | -262.50 | -262.50 | -262.50 | -262.50 | -262.50 | -262.50 | -262.50 | | 股权现金流 | -3,937.50 | 368.27 | 385.46 | 402.66 | 381.31 | 396.36 | 411.40 | 381.46 | 394.36 | 407.25 | | 折现率(r) | 9.41% | 9.25% | 9.10% | 8.94% | 8.58% | 8.44% | 8.31% | 8.02% | 7.90% | 7.79% | | 折现系数 | 0.91 | 0.84 | 0.77 | 0.70 | 0.65 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.51 | 0.47 | 0.44 | | 折现值 | -3,598.89 | 308.09 | 295.58 | 283.41 | 247.19 | 236.94 | 227.07 | 194.92 | 186.75 | 178.93 | | 折现值加和 | 371.30 | | | | | | | | | | | 年金永续 | 466.16 | | | | | | | | | | | NPV2 | 174.90 | | | | | | | | | | | 总投资 | 7,875.00 | | | | | | | | | | | 造价(千)/万千瓦 | 7,500.00 | | | | | | | | | |
贺兰山风电场二期扩建项目第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——神州风电(续表) | 经营周期 | Year11 | Year12 | Year13 | Year14 | Year15 | Year16 | Year17 | Year18 | Year19 | Year20 | Year21 | | 电站总容量 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | | 有效利用小时 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | | 发电量 | 2047.5 | 2047.5 | 2047.5 | 2047.5 | 2047.5 | 2047.5 | 2047.5 | 2047.5 | 2047.5 | 2047.5 | 2047.5 | | 线损 | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | | 上网电量 | 1,994.12 | 1,994.12 | 1,994.12 | 1,994.12 | 1,994.12 | 1,994.12 | 1,994.12 | 1,994.12 | 1,994.12 | 1,994.12 | 1,994.12 | | 单价 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | | 营业收入 | 920.69 | 920.69 | 920.69 | 920.69 | 920.69 | 920.69 | 920.69 | 920.69 | 920.69 | 920.69 | 920.69 | | 折旧与摊销 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | | 其他营业成本 | 105.00 | 105.00 | 105.00 | 105.00 | 105.00 | 105.00 | 105.00 | 105.00 | 105.00 | 105.00 | 105.00 | | 贷款额 | 1,312.50 | 1,050.00 | 787.50 | 525.00 | 262.50 | - | | | | | | | 财务费用 | 94.57 | 77.37 | 60.18 | 42.98 | 25.79 | 8.60 | - | - | - | - | - | | 税金附加 | 13.87 | 13.87 | 13.87 | 13.87 | 13.87 | 13.87 | 13.87 | 13.87 | 13.87 | 13.87 | 13.87 | | 补贴收入 | 78.26 | 78.26 | 78.26 | 78.26 | 78.26 | 78.26 | 78.26 | 78.26 | 78.26 | 78.26 | 78.26 | | 利润总额 | 411.45 | 428.64 | 445.84 | 463.03 | 480.22 | 497.42 | 506.02 | 506.02 | 506.02 | 506.02 | 506.02 | | 所得税率 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 所得税 | 102.86 | 107.16 | 111.46 | 115.76 | 120.06 | 124.35 | 126.50 | 126.50 | 126.50 | 126.50 | 126.50 |
| 净利润 | 308.59 | 321.48 | 334.38 | 347.27 | 360.17 | 373.06 | 379.51 | 379.51 | 379.51 | 379.51 | 379.51 | | 折旧与摊销 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | 374.06 | | 资本性支出 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 借款变动 | -262.50 | -262.50 | -262.50 | -262.50 | -262.50 | -262.50 | - | - | - | - | - | | 股权现金流 | 420.15 | 433.05 | 445.94 | 458.84 | 471.73 | 484.63 | 753.57 | 753.57 | 753.57 | 753.57 | 753.57 | | 折现率(r) | 7.67% | 7.55% | 7.44% | 7.32% | 7.21% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | | 折现系数 | 0.41 | 0.38 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.20 | | 折现值 | 171.44 | 164.30 | 157.48 | 150.98 | 144.79 | 138.90 | 201.68 | 188.33 | 175.86 | 164.22 | 153.35 | | 折现值加和 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 年金永续 | | | | | | | | | | | | | NPV2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 总投资 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 造价(千)/万千瓦 | | | | | | | | | | | |
天净神州二期扩建项目第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——神州风电 | 经营周期 | Year1 | Year2 | Year3 | Year4 | Year5 | Year6 | Year7 | Year8 | Year9 | Year10 | | 电站总容量 | | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | | 有效利用小时 | | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | | 发电量 | | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | | 线损 | | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | | 上网电量 | | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | | 单价 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | | 营业收入 | | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | | 折旧与摊销 | | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | | 其他营业成本 | 100 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | | 贷款额 | 3,825.00 | 3,570.00 | 3,315.00 | 3,060.00 | 2,805.00 | 2,550.00 | 2,295.00 | 2,040.00 | 1,785.00 | 1,530.00 | | 财务费用 | | 242.19 | 225.48 | 208.78 | 192.08 | 175.38 | 158.67 | 141.97 | 125.27 | 108.57 | | 税金附加 | 10% | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | | 补贴收入 | | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | | 利润总额 | | 249.37 | 266.07 | 282.78 | 299.48 | 316.18 | 332.88 | 349.59 | 366.29 | 382.99 | | 所得税率 | | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 所得税 | | - | - | - | 37.43 | 39.52 | 41.61 | 87.40 | 91.57 | 95.75 |
| 净利润 | | 249.37 | 266.07 | 282.78 | 262.04 | 276.66 | 291.27 | 262.19 | 274.72 | 287.24 | | 折旧与摊销 | | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | | 资本性支出 | 7,650.00 | | | | | | | | | | | 借款变动 | 3,825.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | | 股权现金流 | -3,825.00 | 357.75 | 374.45 | 391.15 | 370.42 | 385.03 | 399.65 | 370.56 | 383.09 | 395.62 | | 折现率(r) | 9.41% | 9.25% | 9.10% | 8.94% | 8.58% | 8.44% | 8.31% | 8.02% | 7.90% | 7.79% | | 折现系数 | 0.91 | 0.84 | 0.77 | 0.70 | 0.65 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.51 | 0.47 | 0.44 | | 折现值 | -3,496.07 | 299.29 | 287.13 | 275.31 | 240.12 | 230.17 | 220.58 | 189.35 | 181.41 | 173.81 | | 折现值加和 | 360.69 | | | | | | | | | | | 年金永续 | 452.84 | | | | | | | | | | | NPV2 | 135.13 | | | | | | | | | | | 总投资 | 7,650.00 | | | | | | | | | | | 造价(千)/万千瓦 | 7,500.00 | | | | | | | | | |
天净神州二期扩建项目第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——神州风电(续表) | 经营周期 | Year11 | Year12 | Year13 | Year14 | Year15 | Year16 | Year17 | Year18 | Year19 | Year20 | Year21 | | 电站总容量 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | | 有效利用小时 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | | 发电量 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | | 线损 | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | | 上网电量 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | | 单价 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | | 营业收入 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | | 折旧与摊销 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | | 其他营业成本 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | | 贷款额 | 1,275.00 | 1,020.00 | 765.00 | 510.00 | 255.00 | - | | | | | | | 财务费用 | 91.86 | 75.16 | 58.46 | 41.76 | 25.05 | 8.35 | - | - | - | - | - | | 税金附加 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | | 补贴收入 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | | 利润总额 | 399.69 | 416.40 | 433.10 | 449.80 | 466.50 | 483.21 | 491.56 | 491.56 | 491.56 | 491.56 | 491.56 | | 所得税率 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 所得税 | 99.92 | 104.10 | 108.27 | 112.45 | 116.63 | 120.80 | 122.89 | 122.89 | 122.89 | 122.89 | 122.89 |
| 净利润 | 299.77 | 312.30 | 324.82 | 337.35 | 349.88 | 362.40 | 368.67 | 368.67 | 368.67 | 368.67 | 368.67 | | 折旧与摊销 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | | 资本性支出 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 借款变动 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | - | - | - | - | - | | 股权现金流 | 408.15 | 420.67 | 433.20 | 445.73 | 458.25 | 470.78 | 732.04 | 732.04 | 732.04 | 732.04 | 732.04 | | 折现率(r) | 7.67% | 7.55% | 7.44% | 7.32% | 7.21% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | | 折现系数 | 0.41 | 0.38 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.20 | | 折现值 | 166.55 | 159.60 | 152.98 | 146.66 | 140.65 | 134.93 | 195.92 | 182.95 | 170.84 | 159.53 | 148.97 | | 折现值加和 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 年金永续 | | | | | | | | | | | | | NPV2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 总投资 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 造价(千)/万千瓦 | | | | | | | | | | | |
贺兰山风电场二期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——神州风电 | 经营周期 | Year1 | Year2 | Year3 | Year4 | Year5 | Year6 | Year7 | Year8 | Year9 | Year10 | | 电站总容量 | | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | | 有效利用小时 | | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | | 发电量 | | 1,989.00 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | | 线损 | | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | | 上网电量 | | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | | 单价 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | | 营业收入 | | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | | 折旧与摊销 | | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | | 其他营业成本 | 100 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | | 贷款额 | 3,825.00 | 3,570.00 | 3,315.00 | 3,060.00 | 2,805.00 | 2,550.00 | 2,295.00 | 2,040.00 | 1,785.00 | 1,530.00 | | 财务费用 | | 242.19 | 225.48 | 208.78 | 192.08 | 175.38 | 158.67 | 141.97 | 125.27 | 108.57 | | 税金附加 | 10% | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | | 补贴收入 | | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | | 利润总额 | | 249.37 | 266.07 | 282.78 | 299.48 | 316.18 | 332.88 | 349.59 | 366.29 | 382.99 | | 所得税率 | | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 所得税 | | - | - | - | 37.43 | 39.52 | 41.61 | 87.40 | 91.57 | 95.75 |
| 净利润 | | 249.37 | 266.07 | 282.78 | 262.04 | 276.66 | 291.27 | 262.19 | 274.72 | 287.24 | | 折旧与摊销 | | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | | 资本性支出 | 7,650.00 | | | | | | | | | | | 借款变动 | 3,825.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | | 股权现金流 | -3,825.00 | 357.75 | 374.45 | 391.15 | 370.42 | 385.03 | 399.65 | 370.56 | 383.09 | 395.62 | | 折现率(r) | 9.41% | 9.25% | 9.10% | 8.94% | 8.58% | 8.44% | 8.31% | 8.02% | 7.90% | 7.79% | | 折现系数 | 0.91 | 0.84 | 0.77 | 0.70 | 0.65 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.51 | 0.47 | 0.44 | | 折现值 | -3,496.07 | 299.29 | 287.13 | 275.31 | 240.12 | 230.17 | 220.58 | 189.35 | 181.41 | 173.81 | | 折现值加和 | 360.69 | | | | | | | | | | | 年金永续 | 452.84 | | | | | | | | | | | NPV2 | 183.37 | | | | | | | | | | | 总投资 | 7,650.00 | | | | | | | | | | | 造价(千)/万千瓦 | 7,500.00 | | | | | | | | | |
贺兰山风电场二期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——神州风电(续表) | 经营周期 | Year11 | Year12 | Year13 | Year14 | Year15 | Year16 | Year17 | Year18 | Year19 | Year20 | Year21 | | 电站总容量 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | | 有效利用小时 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | | 发电量 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | 1989 | | 线损 | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | | 上网电量 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | 1,937.15 | | 单价 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | | 营业收入 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | 894.38 | | 折旧与摊销 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | | 其他营业成本 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | 102.00 | | 贷款额 | 1,275.00 | 1,020.00 | 765.00 | 510.00 | 255.00 | - | | | | | | | 财务费用 | 91.86 | 75.16 | 58.46 | 41.76 | 25.05 | 8.35 | - | - | - | - | - | | 税金附加 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | 13.47 | | 补贴收入 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | 76.02 | | 利润总额 | 399.69 | 416.40 | 433.10 | 449.80 | 466.50 | 483.21 | 491.56 | 491.56 | 491.56 | 491.56 | 491.56 | | 所得税率 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 所得税 | 99.92 | 104.10 | 108.27 | 112.45 | 116.63 | 120.80 | 122.89 | 122.89 | 122.89 | 122.89 | 122.89 |
| 经营周期 | Year11 | Year12 | Year13 | Year14 | Year15 | Year16 | Year17 | Year18 | Year19 | Year20 | Year21 | | 净利润 | 299.77 | 312.30 | 324.82 | 337.35 | 349.88 | 362.40 | 368.67 | 368.67 | 368.67 | 368.67 | 368.67 | | 折旧与摊销 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | 363.38 | | 资本性支出 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 借款变动 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | -255.00 | - | - | - | - | - | | 股权现金流 | 408.15 | 420.67 | 433.20 | 445.73 | 458.25 | 470.78 | 732.04 | 732.04 | 732.04 | 732.04 | 732.04 | | 折现率(r) | 7.67% | 7.55% | 7.44% | 7.32% | 7.21% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | | 折现系数 | 0.41 | 0.38 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.20 | | 折现值 | 166.55 | 159.60 | 152.98 | 146.66 | 140.65 | 134.93 | 195.92 | 182.95 | 170.84 | 159.53 | 148.97 | | 折现值加和 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 年金永续 | | | | | | | | | | | | | NPV2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 总投资 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 造价(千)/万千瓦 | | | | | | | | | | | |
4、阿左旗分公司 (1)成本法评估情况 在持续经营前提下,阿左旗分公司于评估基准日的总资产账面价值为89,170.32万元,评估价值为66,428.15万元,减值额为22,742.17万元,减值率为25.50%;总负债账面价值为60,199.50万元,评估价值60,199.50万元,增值额0.00万元,增值率0.00%;净资产账面价值为28,970.82万元,净资产评估价值为6,228.65万元,减值额为22,742.17万元,减值率为78.50%。各类资产及负债评估结果见下表: 单位:万元 | 项目 | 账面价值 | 评估价值 | 增减值 | 增值率% | | 1 | 流动资产 | 2,081.24 | 2,081.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | | 2 | 非流动资产 | 87,089.08 | 64,346.91 | -22,742.17 | -26.11 | | 3 | 其中:投资性房地产 | | | | | | 4 | 固定资产 | 87,008.64 | 64,182.13 | -22,826.51 | -26.23 | | 5 | 在建工程 | 50.00 | 50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | | 6 | 工程物资 | | | | | | 7 | 无形资产 | 29.45 | 113.79 | 84.34 | 286.38 | | 8 | 长期待摊费用 | | | | | | 9 | 递延所得税资产 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | | 10 | 其他非流动资产 | | | | | | 11 | 资产总计 | 89,170.32 | 66,428.15 | -22,742.17 | -25.50 | | 12 | 流动负债 | 7,806.50 | 7,806.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | | 13 | 非流动负债 | 52,393.00 | 52,393.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | | 14 | 负债合计 | 60,199.50 | 60,199.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | | 15 | 净资产 | 28,970.82 | 6,228.65 | -22,742.17 | -78.50 |
本次评估未考虑评估增值可能产生的所得税对净资产价值的影响。 (2)收益法评估结果 在持续经营前提下,阿左旗分公司于评估基准日审计后的净资产账面价值为28,970.82万元,收益法评估值29,176.79万元,增值额205.97万元,增值率0.71%。 (3)评估结论的确定 阿左旗分公司在持续经营假设前提下具有独立获利能力,而成本法主要反映的是单个资产价值的简单加和,没有考虑各单项资产带来的协同效应,同时忽略了企业的盈利能力等因素。因此以收益法的评估结果作为最终评估结论,能够更加客观反映被评估单位的企业价值,恰当服务于本次评估目的。所以,本次评估以收益法的评估结果作为最终的评估结论,阿左旗分公司净资产以收益法评估结果为29,176.79万元。 (4)收益法评估结果与成本法评估结果比较 收益法评估结果比成本法评估结果多22,948.14万元,原因如下: ①成本法评估思路是各单项资产重置建造成本的加和,收益法评估思路认为被评估单位各单项资产有机结合,发挥协同效应并创造稳定收益,收益法评估是通过对被评估单位未来收益进行折现反映被评估单位客观价值。评估途径的差异,是导致评估结果不同的原因之一。 ②被评估单位开展风电业务较早,一方面,风电场建造成本相对较高;另一方面,被评估单位各风场选址好,占据了有利的风力资源条件,所选风场全年均可发电,年平均发电小时较多,年上网电量也较高。被评估单位所处风场较好,是两种评估方法结果差异原因之一。 (5)成本法评估结果与账面值差异的分析 成本法评估结果较账面价值减值22,742.17万元,减值率78.50%,增减值原因如下: ①房屋建筑物类资产:评估原值减增值1,728.13万元,增值率23.81%;评估净值增值1,152.10万元,增值率22.28%。评估值增值原因如下: a.本次评估的建(构)筑物主要建成于2005年、2006年,由于建设年代较早,当时的建设成本较低,而近年来当地的建筑材料价格及人工成本持续走高,造成房屋建筑物及构筑物的建筑成本不断提高。 b.建(构)筑物的实际耐用年限长于会计的折旧年限,且被评估单位对房屋建筑物的维护状态较好,综合成新率较账面成新率高。 ②设备类资产:评估原值减值36,953.02万元,减值率31.60%;评估净值减值23,978.61万元,减值率24.46%。主要原因如下: a.机器设备:评估原值减值36,853.90万元,减值率31.61%,减值的主要原因是,随着风力发电机组的国产化,当前风机的市场价格比企业原始购置成本大幅下降;评估净值减值24,084.98万元,减值率29.44%,评估原值减值是造成评估净值减值的主要原因。 b.车辆:评估原值减值43.95万元,减值率14.70%,减值的主要原因是车辆的市场价格不断下跌;评估净值增值108.29万元,增值率418.40%,评估净值增值的原因是企业计提折旧年限较短、折旧速率大于资产的实体性损耗,因此评估增值。 c.电子设备:评估原值55.18万元,减值率85.99%,减值的主要原因一是电子设备市场价格逐年走低,二是部分逾龄电子设备在评估中按二手价评估;评估净值减值1.92万元,减值率38.44%,评估原值减值是评估净值减值的主要原因。 ③无形资产—土地使用权:评估增值84.34万元,增值率286.38%。根据内蒙古正誉不动产评估咨询有限责任公司出具的《土地估价报告》,本次土地使用权评估增值主要原因为纳入评估范围的土地所有权取得于2009年2月,被评估单位取得宗地时,周围区域比较荒凉,位置偏僻、市政配套差,原始取得成本主要为出让金,每平方米单价17元,随着当地经济发展,委估宗地区域市政配套逐渐完善,委估宗地也达到了三通一平状态,本次评估对委估宗地设定为出让条件下计算的评估值,评估基准日的评估价为60元/平方米。上述几方面因素,使得委估宗地的土地使用权评估增值较大。 (6)预测期的现金流量情况(表中金额单位为万元) 收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司 | 项目 | 2013年6-12月 | 2014年 | 2015年 | 2016年 | 2017年 | 2018年 | 2019年 | 2020年 | 2021年 | 2022年 | 2023年 | | 一、营业收入 | 6,466.40 | 12,018.38 | 12,018.38 | 12,018.38 | 12,018.38 | 12,018.38 | 12,018.38 | 12,018.38 | 12,018.38 | 12,018.38 | 12,018.38 | | 减:营业成本 | 3,968.10 | 6,948.71 | 7,003.27 | 7,060.55 | 7,120.70 | 7,183.85 | 7,183.85 | 7,183.85 | 7,183.85 | 7,183.85 | 7,183.85 | | 其他业务成本 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 税金及附加 | 88.92 | 193.53 | 192.99 | 192.43 | 191.83 | 191.21 | 191.21 | 191.21 | 191.21 | 191.21 | 191.21 | | 营业费用 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 管理费用 | 219.00 | 493.60 | 514.03 | 535.48 | 558.01 | 581.66 | 581.66 | 581.66 | 581.66 | 581.66 | 581.66 | | 财务费用 | 2,065.00 | 3,292.16 | 2,861.62 | 2,421.27 | 1,971.09 | 1,514.35 | 1,053.86 | 657.98 | 325.24 | 79.61 | (0.30) | | 资产减值损失 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 加:公允变动净损益 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 投资收益 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 二、营业利润 | 125.38 | 1,090.38 | 1,446.47 | 1,808.66 | 2,176.76 | 2,547.31 | 3,007.81 | 3,403.69 | 3,736.43 | 3,982.06 | 4,061.97 | | 加:营业外收入 | 548.78 | 1,141.96 | 1,164.96 | 1,162.13 | 1,159.16 | 1,156.04 | 1,156.04 | 1,156.04 | 1,156.04 | 1,156.04 | 1,156.04 | | 减:营业外支出 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 三、利润总额 | 674.16 | 2,232.34 | 2,611.43 | 2,970.79 | 3,335.92 | 3,703.35 | 4,163.85 | 4,559.73 | 4,892.47 | 5,138.10 | 5,218.01 | | 所得税税率 | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 减:所得税 | 101.12 | 334.85 | 391.71 | 445.62 | 500.39 | 555.50 | 624.58 | 683.96 | 1,223.12 | 1,284.52 | 1,304.50 | | 四、净利润 | 573.04 | 1,897.49 | 2,219.72 | 2,525.17 | 2,835.54 | 3,147.85 | 3,539.27 | 3,875.77 | 3,669.36 | 3,853.57 | 3,913.51 | | 加:折旧及摊销 | 3,387.84 | 5,857.60 | 5,857.60 | 5,857.60 | 5,857.60 | 5,857.60 | 5,857.60 | 5,857.60 | 5,857.60 | 5,857.60 | 5,857.60 | | 减:资本性支出 | 3.80 | 56.80 | 56.80 | 56.80 | 56.80 | 56.80 | 56.80 | 56.80 | 56.80 | 56.80 | 56.80 | | 营运资本追加额 | 1,256.14 | 42.32 | (74.81) | (77.07) | (78.33) | (78.86) | (97.86) | (84.12) | 51.60 | (46.05) | (14.98) | | 五、自由现金流量 | 2,700.94 | 7,655.97 | 8,095.32 | 8,403.04 | 8,714.67 | 9,027.51 | 9,437.93 | 9,760.70 | 9,418.55 | 9,700.43 | 9,729.29 | | 加:借款增加额 | -4,933.00 | -6,573.00 | -6,573.00 | -6,873.00 | -6,873.00 | -7,073.00 | -6,988.00 | -5,100.00 | -5,060.00 | -2,440.00 | - | | 减:借款减少额 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 六、股权现金流量 | (2,232.06) | 1,082.97 | 1,522.32 | 1,530.04 | 1,841.67 | 1,954.51 | 2,449.93 | 4,660.70 | 4,358.55 | 7,260.43 | 9,729.29 | | 折现率(r)(wacc) | 11.02% | 10.58% | 10.14% | 9.67% | 9.21% | 8.73% | 8.26% | 7.92% | 7.56% | 7.41% | 7.41% | | 折现期数(n) | 0.58 | 1.58 | 2.58 | 3.58 | 4.58 | 5.58 | 6.58 | 7.58 | 8.58 | 9.58 | 10.58 | | 折现系数 | 0.94 | 0.85 | 0.77 | 0.70 | 0.64 | 0.59 | 0.55 | 0.51 | 0.47 | 0.44 | 0.41 | | 折现值 | (2,099.98) | 921.40 | 1,176.00 | 1,077.72 | 1,187.84 | 1,159.39 | 1,342.38 | 2,366.40 | 2,057.54 | 3,190.98 | 3,981.06 | | 第一阶段回收残值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 永续期各项工程价值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 七、未来净现金流量折现值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 加:非经营性资产评估值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 溢余资产 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 减:非经营性负债评估值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 八、股东全部权益价值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 账面值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 增值额 | | | | | | | | | | | |
收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司(续表) | 项目 | 2024年 | 2025年 | 2026年 | 2027年 | 2028年 | 2029年 | | 一、营业收入 | 10,320.05 | 6,923.38 | 6,923.38 | 3,551.69 | 3,551.69 | 3,551.69 | | 减:营业成本 | 6,153.26 | 4,092.07 | 4,092.07 | 2,046.03 | 2,017.86 | 2,017.86 | | 其他业务成本 | | | | | | | | 税金及附加 | 164.22 | 110.23 | 110.23 | 56.65 | 56.65 | 56.65 | | 营业费用 | | | | | | | | 管理费用 | 581.66 | 581.66 | 581.66 | 581.66 | 581.66 | 581.66 | | 财务费用 | (0.30) | (0.30) | (0.30) | (0.30) | (0.30) | | | 资产减值损失 | | | | | | | | 加:公允变动净损益 | | | | | | | | 投资收益 | | | | | | | | 二、营业利润 | 3,421.22 | 2,139.73 | 2,139.73 | 867.66 | 895.83 | 895.53 | | 加:营业外收入 | 1,021.08 | 751.17 | 751.17 | 483.23 | 483.23 | 483.23 | | 减:营业外支出 | | | | | | | | 三、利润总额 | 4,442.30 | 2,890.89 | 2,890.89 | 1,350.89 | 1,379.06 | 1,378.76 | | 所得税税率 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 减:所得税 | 1,110.58 | 722.72 | 722.72 | 337.72 | 344.77 | 344.69 | | 四、净利润 | 3,331.73 | 2,168.17 | 2,168.17 | 1,013.17 | 1,034.30 | 1,034.07 | | 加:折旧及摊销 | 5,017.27 | 3,336.61 | 3,336.61 | 1,668.30 | 1,640.13 | 1,640.13 | | 减:资本性支出 | 56.80 | 56.80 | 56.80 | 56.80 | 56.80 | 56.80 | | 营运资本追加额 | | | | | | | | 五、自由现金流量 | 8,292.20 | 5,447.98 | 5,447.98 | 2,624.67 | 2,617.62 | 2,617.40 | | 加:借款增加额 | - | - | - | - | - | - | | 减:借款减少额 | | | | | | | | 六、股权现金流量 | 8,292.20 | 5,447.98 | 5,447.98 | 2,624.67 | 2,617.62 | 2,617.40 | | 折现率(r)(wacc) | 7.41% | 7.41% | 7.41% | 7.41% | 7.41% | 7.41% | | 折现期数(n) | 11.58 | 12.58 | 13.58 | 14.58 | 15.58 | 16.58 | | 折现系数 | 0.38 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 0.27 | | 折现值 | 3,158.95 | 1,932.25 | 1,798.95 | 806.89 | 749.21 | 697.47 | | 第一阶段回收残值 | | | | | | 1,654.77 | | 永续期各项工程价值 | | | | | | 1,559.58 | | 七、未来净现金流量折现值 | | | | | | 28,718.79 | | 加:非经营性资产评估值 | | | | | | | | 溢余资产 | | | | | | 887.57 | | 减:非经营性负债评估值 | | | | | | 429.56 | | 八、股东全部权益价值 | | | | | | 29,176.79 | | 账面值 | | | | | | 28,970.82 | | 增值额 | | | | | | 205.97 |
贺兰山一期三期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司 | 经营周期 | Year1 | Year2 | Year3 | Year4 | Year5 | Year6 | Year7 | Year8 | Year9 | Year10 | | 电站总容量 | | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.04 | | 有效利用小时 | | 1,950.00 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | | 发电量 | | 3,978.00 | 3978 | 3978 | 3978 | 3978 | 3978 | 3978 | 3978 | 3978 | | 线损 | | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | | 上网电量 | | 3,862.39 | 3,862.39 | 3,862.39 | 3,862.39 | 3,862.39 | 3,862.39 | 3,862.39 | 3,862.39 | 3,862.39 | | 单价 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | | 营业收入 | | 1,881.68 | 1,881.68 | 1,881.68 | 1,881.68 | 1,881.68 | 1,881.68 | 1,881.68 | 1,881.68 | 1,881.68 | | 折旧与摊销 | | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | | 其他营业成本 | 135.00 | 275.40 | 275.40 | 275.40 | 275.40 | 275.40 | 275.40 | 275.40 | 275.40 | 275.40 | | 贷款额 | 7,650.00 | 7,140.00 | 6,630.00 | 6,120.00 | 5,610.00 | 5,100.00 | 4,590.00 | 4,080.00 | 3,570.00 | 3,060.00 | | 财务费用 | | 484.37 | 450.97 | 417.56 | 384.16 | 350.75 | 317.35 | 283.94 | 250.54 | 217.13 | | 税金附加 | 10% | 27.31 | 27.31 | 27.31 | 27.31 | 27.31 | 27.31 | 27.31 | 27.31 | 27.31 | | 补贴收入 | | 159.94 | 159.94 | 159.94 | 159.94 | 159.94 | 159.94 | 159.94 | 159.94 | 159.94 | | 利润总额 | | 527.79 | 561.19 | 594.60 | 628.00 | 661.41 | 694.81 | 728.22 | 761.62 | 795.03 | | 所得税率 | | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 所得税 | | - | - | - | 78.50 | 82.68 | 86.85 | 182.05 | 190.41 | 198.76 |
| 净利润 | | 527.79 | 561.19 | 594.60 | 549.50 | 578.73 | 607.96 | 546.16 | 571.22 | 596.27 | | 折旧与摊销 | | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | | 资本性支出 | 15,300.00 | | | | | | | | | | | 借款变动 | 7,650.00 | -510.00 | -510.00 | -510.00 | -510.00 | -510.00 | -510.00 | -510.00 | -510.00 | -510.00 | | 股权现金流 | -7,650.00 | 744.54 | 777.94 | 811.35 | 766.25 | 795.48 | 824.71 | 762.91 | 787.97 | 813.02 | | 折现率(r) | 9.41% | 9.25% | 9.10% | 8.94% | 8.58% | 8.44% | 8.31% | 8.02% | 7.90% | 7.79% | | 折现系数 | 0.91 | 0.84 | 0.77 | 0.70 | 0.65 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.51 | 0.47 | 0.44 | | 折现值 | -6,992.13 | 622.87 | 596.54 | 571.07 | 496.72 | 475.53 | 455.19 | 389.83 | 373.14 | 357.20 | | 折现值加和 | 935.60 | | | | | | | | | | | 年金永续 | 1,174.63 | | | | | | | | | | | NPV2 | 447.48 | | | | | | | | | | | 总投资 | 15,300.00 | | | | | | | | | | | 造价(千)/万千瓦 | 7,500.00 | | | | | | | | | |
贺兰山一期三期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司(续表) | 经营周期 | Year11 | Year12 | Year13 | Year14 | Year15 | Year16 | Year17 | Year18 | Year19 | Year20 | Year21 | | 电站总容量 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.04 | | 有效利用小时 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | | 发电量 | 3978 | 3978 | 3978 | 3978 | 3978 | 3978 | 3978 | 3978 | 3978 | 3978 | 3978 | | 线损 | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | | 上网电量 | 3,862.39 | 3,862.39 | 3,862.39 | 3,862.39 | 3,862.39 | 3,862.39 | 3,862.39 | 3,862.39 | 3,862.39 | 3,862.39 | 3,862.39 | | 单价 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | | 营业收入 | 1,881.68 | 1,881.68 | 1,881.68 | 1,881.68 | 1,881.68 | 1,881.68 | 1,881.68 | 1,881.68 | 1,881.68 | 1,881.68 | 1,881.68 | | 折旧与摊销 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | | 其他营业成本 | 275.40 | 275.40 | 275.40 | 275.40 | 275.40 | 275.40 | 275.40 | 275.40 | 275.40 | 275.40 | 275.40 | | 贷款额 | 2,550.00 | 2,040.00 | 1,530.00 | 1,020.00 | 510.00 | - | | | | | | | 财务费用 | 183.73 | 150.32 | 116.92 | 83.51 | 50.11 | 16.70 | - | - | - | - | - | | 税金附加 | 27.31 | 27.31 | 27.31 | 27.31 | 27.31 | 27.31 | 27.31 | 27.31 | 27.31 | 27.31 | 27.31 | | 补贴收入 | 159.94 | 159.94 | 159.94 | 159.94 | 159.94 | 159.94 | 159.94 | 159.94 | 159.94 | 159.94 | 159.94 | | 利润总额 | 828.43 | 861.84 | 895.24 | 928.65 | 962.05 | 995.46 | 1,012.16 | 1,012.16 | 1,012.16 | 1,012.16 | 1,012.16 | | 所得税率 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 所得税 | 207.11 | 215.46 | 223.81 | 232.16 | 240.51 | 248.86 | 253.04 | 253.04 | 253.04 | 253.04 | 253.04 |
| 净利润 | 621.33 | 646.38 | 671.43 | 696.49 | 721.54 | 746.59 | 759.12 | 759.12 | 759.12 | 759.12 | 759.12 | | 折旧与摊销 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | 726.75 | | 资本性支出 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 借款变动 | -510.00 | -510.00 | -510.00 | -510.00 | -510.00 | -510.00 | - | - | - | - | - | | 股权现金流 | 838.08 | 863.13 | 888.18 | 913.24 | 938.29 | 963.34 | 1,485.87 | 1,485.87 | 1,485.87 | 1,485.87 | 1,485.87 | | 折现率(r) | 7.67% | 7.55% | 7.44% | 7.32% | 7.21% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | | 折现系数 | 0.41 | 0.38 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.20 | | 折现值 | 341.98 | 327.47 | 313.65 | 300.49 | 287.99 | 276.10 | 397.67 | 371.35 | 346.76 | 323.81 | 302.37 | | 折现值加和 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 年金永续 | | | | | | | | | | | | | NPV2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 总投资 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 造价(千)/万千瓦 | | | | | | | | | | | |
发电一期A工程发电二期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司 | 经营周期 | Year1 | Year2 | Year3 | Year4 | Year5 | Year6 | Year7 | Year8 | Year9 | Year10 | | 电站总容量 | | 4.08 | 4.08 | 4.08 | 4.08 | 4.08 | 4.08 | 4.08 | 4.08 | 4.08 | | 有效利用小时 | | 1,950.00 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | | 发电量 | | 7,956.00 | 7956 | 7956 | 7956 | 7956 | 7956 | 7956 | 7956 | 7956 | | 线损 | | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | | 上网电量 | | 7,724.78 | 7,724.78 | 7,724.78 | 7,724.78 | 7,724.78 | 7,724.78 | 7,724.78 | 7,724.78 | 7,724.78 | | 单价 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | | 营业收入 | | 3,763.35 | 3,763.35 | 3,763.35 | 3,763.35 | 3,763.35 | 3,763.35 | 3,763.35 | 3,763.35 | 3,763.35 | | 折旧与摊销 | | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | | 其他营业成本 | 135.00 | 550.80 | 550.80 | 550.80 | 550.80 | 550.80 | 550.80 | 550.80 | 550.80 | 550.80 | | 贷款额 | 22,950.00 | 21,420.00 | 19,890.00 | 18,360.00 | 16,830.00 | 15,300.00 | 13,770.00 | 12,240.00 | 10,710.00 | 9,180.00 | | 财务费用 | | 1,453.12 | 1,352.90 | 1,252.69 | 1,152.47 | 1,052.26 | 952.04 | 851.83 | 751.61 | 651.40 | | 税金附加 | 10% | 54.61 | 54.61 | 54.61 | 54.61 | 54.61 | 54.61 | 54.61 | 54.61 | 54.61 | | 补贴收入 | | 319.88 | 319.88 | 319.88 | 319.88 | 319.88 | 319.88 | 319.88 | 319.88 | 319.88 | | 利润总额 | | 571.21 | 671.42 | 771.64 | 871.85 | 972.07 | 1,072.28 | 1,172.50 | 1,272.71 | 1,372.93 | | 所得税率 | | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 所得税 | | - | - | - | 108.98 | 121.51 | 134.04 | 293.12 | 318.18 | 343.23 |
| 净利润 | | 571.21 | 671.42 | 771.64 | 762.87 | 850.56 | 938.25 | 879.37 | 954.53 | 1,029.69 | | 折旧与摊销 | | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | | 资本性支出 | 30,600.00 | | | | | | | | | | | 借款变动 | 22,950.00 | -1,530.00 | -1,530.00 | -1,530.00 | -1,530.00 | -1,530.00 | -1,530.00 | -1,530.00 | -1,530.00 | -1,530.00 | | 股权现金流 | -7,650.00 | 494.71 | 594.92 | 695.14 | 686.37 | 774.06 | 861.75 | 802.87 | 878.03 | 953.19 | | 折现率(r) | 14.05% | 13.58% | 13.12% | 12.66% | 11.55% | 11.15% | 10.74% | 9.87% | 9.52% | 9.18% | | 折现系数 | 0.88 | 0.77 | 0.68 | 0.61 | 0.54 | 0.49 | 0.44 | 0.40 | 0.37 | 0.34 | | 折现值 | -6,707.74 | 381.90 | 406.00 | 421.09 | 372.72 | 378.18 | 380.18 | 322.38 | 321.90 | 320.08 | | 折现值加和 | 1,021.92 | | | | | | | | | | | 年金永续 | 1,203.11 | | | | | | | | | | | NPV2 | 426.71 | | | | | | | | | | | 总投资 | 30,600.00 | | | | | | | | | | | 造价(千)/万千瓦 | 7,500.00 | | | | | | | | | |
发电一期A工程发电二期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司(续表) | 经营周期 | Year11 | Year12 | Year13 | Year14 | Year15 | Year16 | Year17 | Year18 | Year19 | Year20 | Year21 | | 电站总容量 | 4.08 | 4.08 | 4.08 | 4.08 | 4.08 | 4.08 | 4.08 | 4.08 | 4.08 | 4.08 | 4.08 | | 有效利用小时 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | | 发电量 | 7956 | 7956 | 7956 | 7956 | 7956 | 7956 | 7956 | 7956 | 7956 | 7956 | 7956 | | 线损 | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | | 上网电量 | 7,724.78 | 7,724.78 | 7,724.78 | 7,724.78 | 7,724.78 | 7,724.78 | 7,724.78 | 7,724.78 | 7,724.78 | 7,724.78 | 7,724.78 | | 单价 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | | 营业收入 | 3,763.35 | 3,763.35 | 3,763.35 | 3,763.35 | 3,763.35 | 3,763.35 | 3,763.35 | 3,763.35 | 3,763.35 | 3,763.35 | 3,763.35 | | 折旧与摊销 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | | 其他营业成本 | 550.80 | 550.80 | 550.80 | 550.80 | 550.80 | 550.80 | 550.80 | 550.80 | 550.80 | 550.80 | 550.80 | | 贷款额 | 7,650.00 | 6,120.00 | 4,590.00 | 3,060.00 | 1,530.00 | - | | | | | | | 财务费用 | 551.18 | 450.97 | 350.75 | 250.54 | 150.32 | 50.11 | - | - | - | - | - | | 税金附加 | 54.61 | 54.61 | 54.61 | 54.61 | 54.61 | 54.61 | 54.61 | 54.61 | 54.61 | 54.61 | 54.61 | | 补贴收入 | 319.88 | 319.88 | 319.88 | 319.88 | 319.88 | 319.88 | 319.88 | 319.88 | 319.88 | 319.88 | 319.88 | | 利润总额 | 1,473.14 | 1,573.36 | 1,673.57 | 1,773.79 | 1,874.00 | 1,974.22 | 2,024.32 | 2,024.32 | 2,024.32 | 2,024.32 | 2,024.32 | | 所得税率 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 所得税 | 368.29 | 393.34 | 418.39 | 443.45 | 468.50 | 493.55 | 506.08 | 506.08 | 506.08 | 506.08 | 506.08 |
| 净利润 | 1,104.86 | 1,180.02 | 1,255.18 | 1,330.34 | 1,405.50 | 1,480.66 | 1,518.24 | 1,518.24 | 1,518.24 | 1,518.24 | 1,518.24 | | 折旧与摊销 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | 1,453.50 | | 资本性支出 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 借款变动 | -1,530.00 | -1,530.00 | -1,530.00 | -1,530.00 | -1,530.00 | -1,530.00 | - | - | - | - | - | | 股权现金流 | 1,028.36 | 1,103.52 | 1,178.68 | 1,253.84 | 1,329.00 | 1,404.16 | 2,971.74 | 2,971.74 | 2,971.74 | 2,971.74 | 2,971.74 | | 折现率(r) | 8.83% | 8.48% | 8.13% | 7.79% | 7.44% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | | 折现系数 | 0.31 | 0.28 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.15 | | 折现值 | 317.30 | 313.88 | 310.04 | 305.99 | 301.88 | 297.84 | 588.61 | 549.64 | 513.25 | 479.28 | 447.55 | | 折现值加和 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 年金永续 | | | | | | | | | | | | | NPV2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 总投资 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 造价(千)/万千瓦 | | | | | | | | | | | |
发电四期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司 | 经营周期 | Year1 | Year2 | Year3 | Year4 | Year5 | Year6 | Year7 | Year8 | Year9 | Year10 | | 电站总容量 | | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | | 有效利用小时 | | 1,950.00 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | | 发电量 | | 7,897.50 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | | 线损 | | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | | 上网电量 | | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | | 单价 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | | 营业收入 | | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | | 折旧与摊销 | | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | | 其他营业成本 | 135.00 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | | 贷款额 | 22,781.25 | 21,262.50 | 19,743.75 | 18,225.00 | 16,706.25 | 15,187.50 | 13,668.75 | 12,150.00 | 10,631.25 | 9,112.50 | | 财务费用 | | 1,442.43 | 1,342.95 | 1,243.48 | 1,144.00 | 1,044.52 | 945.04 | 845.56 | 746.09 | 646.61 | | 税金附加 | 10% | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | | 补贴收入 | | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | | 利润总额 | | 567.01 | 666.48 | 765.96 | 865.44 | 964.92 | 1,064.40 | 1,163.87 | 1,263.35 | 1,362.83 | | 所得税率 | | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 所得税 | | - | - | - | 108.18 | 120.61 | 133.05 | 290.97 | 315.84 | 340.71 |
| 净利润 | | 567.01 | 666.48 | 765.96 | 757.26 | 844.30 | 931.35 | 872.91 | 947.51 | 1,022.12 | | 折旧与摊销 | | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | | 资本性支出 | 30,375.00 | | | | | | | | | | | 借款变动 | 22,781.25 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | | 股权现金流 | -7,593.75 | 491.07 | 590.55 | 690.02 | 681.32 | 768.37 | 855.41 | 796.97 | 871.58 | 946.19 | | 折现率(r) | 14.05% | 13.58% | 13.12% | 12.66% | 11.55% | 11.15% | 10.74% | 9.87% | 9.52% | 9.18% | | 折现系数 | 0.88 | 0.77 | 0.68 | 0.61 | 0.54 | 0.49 | 0.44 | 0.40 | 0.37 | 0.34 | | 折现值 | -6,658.42 | 379.09 | 403.01 | 418.00 | 369.98 | 375.40 | 377.38 | 320.01 | 319.53 | 317.73 | | 折现值加和 | 1,014.40 | | | | | | | | | | | 年金永续 | 1,194.26 | | | | | | | | | | | NPV2 | 367.15 | | | | | | | | | | | 总投资 | 30,375.00 | | | | | | | | | | | 造价(千)/万千瓦 | 7,500.00 | | | | | | | | | |
发电四期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司(续) | 经营周期 | Year11 | Year12 | Year13 | Year14 | Year15 | Year16 | Year17 | Year18 | Year19 | Year20 | Year21 | | 电站总容量 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | | 有效利用小时 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | | 发电量 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | | 线损 | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | | 上网电量 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | | 单价 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | | 营业收入 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | | 折旧与摊销 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | | 其他营业成本 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | | 贷款额 | 7,593.75 | 6,075.00 | 4,556.25 | 3,037.50 | 1,518.75 | - | | | | | | | 财务费用 | 547.13 | 447.65 | 348.17 | 248.70 | 149.22 | 49.74 | - | - | - | - | - | | 税金附加 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | | 补贴收入 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | | 利润总额 | 1,462.31 | 1,561.79 | 1,661.27 | 1,760.74 | 1,860.22 | 1,959.70 | 2,009.44 | 2,009.44 | 2,009.44 | 2,009.44 | 2,009.44 | | 所得税率 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 所得税 | 365.58 | 390.45 | 415.32 | 440.19 | 465.06 | 489.92 | 502.36 | 502.36 | 502.36 | 502.36 | 502.36 |
| 净利润 | 1,096.73 | 1,171.34 | 1,245.95 | 1,320.56 | 1,395.17 | 1,469.77 | 1,507.08 | 1,507.08 | 1,507.08 | 1,507.08 | 1,507.08 | | 折旧与摊销 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | | 资本性支出 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 借款变动 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | - | - | - | - | - | | 股权现金流 | 1,020.79 | 1,095.40 | 1,170.01 | 1,244.62 | 1,319.23 | 1,393.84 | 2,949.89 | 2,949.89 | 2,949.89 | 2,949.89 | 2,949.89 | | 折现率(r) | 8.83% | 8.48% | 8.13% | 7.79% | 7.44% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | | 折现系数 | 0.31 | 0.28 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.15 | | 折现值 | 314.97 | 311.57 | 307.76 | 303.74 | 299.66 | 295.65 | 584.28 | 545.60 | 509.48 | 475.75 | 444.26 | | 折现值加和 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 年金永续 | | | | | | | | | | | | | NPV2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 总投资 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 造价(千)/万千瓦 | | | | | | | | | | | |
发电五期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司 | 经营周期 | Year1 | Year2 | Year3 | Year4 | Year5 | Year6 | Year7 | Year8 | Year9 | Year10 | | 电站总容量 | | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | | 有效利用小时 | | 1,950.00 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | | 发电量 | | 7,897.50 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | | 线损 | | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | | 上网电量 | | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | | 单价 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | | 营业收入 | | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | | 折旧与摊销 | | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | | 其他营业成本 | 135.00 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | | 贷款额 | 22,781.25 | 21,262.50 | 19,743.75 | 18,225.00 | 16,706.25 | 15,187.50 | 13,668.75 | 12,150.00 | 10,631.25 | 9,112.50 | | 财务费用 | | 1,442.43 | 1,342.95 | 1,243.48 | 1,144.00 | 1,044.52 | 945.04 | 845.56 | 746.09 | 646.61 | | 税金附加 | 10% | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | | 补贴收入 | | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | | 利润总额 | | 567.01 | 666.48 | 765.96 | 865.44 | 964.92 | 1,064.40 | 1,163.87 | 1,263.35 | 1,362.83 | | 所得税率 | | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 所得税 | | - | - | - | 108.18 | 120.61 | 133.05 | 290.97 | 315.84 | 340.71 |
| 净利润 | | 567.01 | 666.48 | 765.96 | 757.26 | 844.30 | 931.35 | 872.91 | 947.51 | 1,022.12 | | 折旧与摊销 | | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | | 资本性支出 | 30,375.00 | | | | | | | | | | | 借款变动 | 22,781.25 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | | 股权现金流 | -7,593.75 | 491.07 | 590.55 | 690.02 | 681.32 | 768.37 | 855.41 | 796.97 | 871.58 | 946.19 | | 折现率(r) | 14.05% | 13.58% | 13.12% | 12.66% | 11.55% | 11.15% | 10.74% | 9.87% | 9.52% | 9.18% | | 折现系数 | 0.88 | 0.77 | 0.68 | 0.61 | 0.54 | 0.49 | 0.44 | 0.40 | 0.37 | 0.34 | | 折现值 | -6,658.42 | 379.09 | 403.01 | 418.00 | 369.98 | 375.40 | 377.38 | 320.01 | 319.53 | 317.73 | | 折现值加和 | 1,014.40 | | | | | | | | | | | 年金永续 | 1,194.26 | | | | | | | | | | | NPV2 | 318.24 | | | | | | | | | | | 总投资 | 30,375.00 | | | | | | | | | | | 造价(千)/万千瓦 | 7,500.00 | | | | | | | | | |
发电五期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司(续表) | 经营周期 | Year11 | Year12 | Year13 | Year14 | Year15 | Year16 | Year17 | Year18 | Year19 | Year20 | Year21 | | 电站总容量 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.05 | | 有效利用小时 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | 1950 | | 发电量 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | 7897.5 | | 线损 | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | 2.91% | | 上网电量 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | 7,667.98 | | 单价 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | | 营业收入 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | 3,735.68 | | 折旧与摊销 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | | 其他营业成本 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | 546.75 | | 贷款额 | 7,593.75 | 6,075.00 | 4,556.25 | 3,037.50 | 1,518.75 | - | | | | | | | 财务费用 | 547.13 | 447.65 | 348.17 | 248.70 | 149.22 | 49.74 | - | - | - | - | - | | 税金附加 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | 54.21 | | 补贴收入 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | 317.53 | | 利润总额 | 1,462.31 | 1,561.79 | 1,661.27 | 1,760.74 | 1,860.22 | 1,959.70 | 2,009.44 | 2,009.44 | 2,009.44 | 2,009.44 | 2,009.44 | | 所得税率 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 所得税 | 365.58 | 390.45 | 415.32 | 440.19 | 465.06 | 489.92 | 502.36 | 502.36 | 502.36 | 502.36 | 502.36 |
| 净利润 | 1,096.73 | 1,171.34 | 1,245.95 | 1,320.56 | 1,395.17 | 1,469.77 | 1,507.08 | 1,507.08 | 1,507.08 | 1,507.08 | 1,507.08 | | 折旧与摊销 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | 1,442.81 | | 资本性支出 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 借款变动 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | -1,518.75 | - | - | - | - | - | | 股权现金流 | 1,020.79 | 1,095.40 | 1,170.01 | 1,244.62 | 1,319.23 | 1,393.84 | 2,949.89 | 2,949.89 | 2,949.89 | 2,949.89 | 2,949.89 | | 折现率(r) | 8.83% | 8.48% | 8.13% | 7.79% | 7.44% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | 7.09% | | 折现系数 | 0.31 | 0.28 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.15 | | 折现值 | 314.97 | 311.57 | 307.76 | 303.74 | 299.66 | 295.65 | 584.28 | 545.60 | 509.48 | 475.75 | 444.26 | | 折现值加和 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 年金永续 | | | | | | | | | | | | | NPV2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 总投资 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 造价(千)/万千瓦 | | | | | | | | | | | |
5、贺兰山风电厂 (1)成本法评估情况 在持续经营前提下,贺兰山风电厂于评估基准日的总资产账面价值为52,341.96万元,评估价值为51,668.47万元,减值额为673.48万元,减值率为1.29%;总负债账面价值为37,364.07万元,评估价值为37,364.07万元,增值额0.00万元,增值率0.00%;净资产账面价值为14,977.89万元,净资产评估价值为14,304.40万元,减值额为673.48万元,减值率为4.50%。各类资产及负债评估结果见下表: 单位:万元 | 项目 | 账面价值 | 评估价值 | 增减值 | 增值率(%) | | 1 | 流动资产 | 3,193.53 | 3,193.53 | - | - | | 2 | 非流动资产 | 49,148.43 | 48,474.94 | -673.48 | -1.37 | | 3 | 其中:投资性房地产 | | | | | | 4 | 固定资产 | 16,677.24 | 15,824.61 | -852.63 | -5.11 | | 5 | 在建工程 | 32,339.30 | 32,339.30 | - | - | | 6 | 工程物资 | | | | | | 7 | 无形资产 | 118.51 | 297.66 | 179.15 | 151.17 | | 8 | 长期待摊费用 | 13.38 | 13.38 | - | - | | 9 | 递延所得税资产 | | | | | | 10 | 其他非流动资产 | | | | | | 11 | 资产总计 | 52,341.96 | 51,668.47 | -673.49 | -1.29 | | 12 | 流动负债 | 5,264.07 | 5,264.07 | - | - | | 13 | 非流动负债 | 32,100.00 | 32,100.00 | - | - | | 14 | 负债合计 | 37,364.07 | 37,364.07 | - | - | | 15 | 股东全部权益 | 14,977.89 | 14,304.40 | -673.49 | -4.50 |
本次评估未考虑评估增值可能产生的所得税对净资产价值的影响。 (2)收益法评估结果 在持续经营前提下,贺兰山风电厂于评估基准日审计后的净资产账面价值14,977.89万元,收益法评估值15,610.69万元,增值额632.80万元,增值率4.22%。 (3)评估结论的确定 贺兰山风电厂在持续经营假设前提下具有独立获利能力,而成本法主要反映的是单个资产价值的简单加和,没有考虑各单项资产带来的协同效应,同时忽略了企业的盈利能力等因素。因此以收益法的评估结果作为最终评估结论,能够更加客观反映被评估单位的企业价值,恰当服务于本次评估目的。所以,本次评估以收益法的评估结果作为最终的评估结论,贺兰山风电厂净资产评估结果为15,353.76万元。 (4)收益法评估结果与成本法评估结果比较 收益法评估结果比成本法评估结果多1,306.29万元,原因如下: ①成本法评估思路是各单项资产重置建造成本的加和,收益法评估思路认为被评估单位各单项资产有机结合,发挥协同效应并创造稳定收益,收益法评估是通过对被评估单位未来收益进行折现反映被评估单位客观价值。评估途径的差异,是导致评估结果不同的原因之一。 ②被评估单位开展风电业务较早,一方面,风场建造成本相对较高;另一方面,被评估单位各风场选址好,占据了有利的风力资源条件,所选风场全年均可发电,年平均发电小时较多,年上网电量也较高。被评估单位所处风场较好,是两种评估方法结果差异原因之一。 (5)成本法评估结果与账面值差异的分析 成本法评估结果较账面价值减值673.49万元,减值率4.50%,减值原因如下: ①房屋建筑物类资产:评估原值增值769.93万元,增值率44.49%;评估净值增值518.65万元,增值率42.27%。评估值增值原因如下: a.本次评估的建(构)筑物主要建于2006年,由于建设年代较早,房屋构筑物的建设成本较低,而近年来当地的建筑材料价格及人工成本等持续走高,造成房屋建筑物及构筑物的建筑成本不断提高。 b.建(构)筑物的实际耐用年限长于会计的折旧年限,且被评估单位对房屋建筑物的维护状态较好,综合成新率较账面成新率高。 ②设备类资产:评估原值减值3,926.42万元,减值率16.16%;评估净值减值1,371.28万元,减值率8.88%。主要原因如下: a.机器设备:评估原值减值3,877.83万元,减值率16.05%,减值的主要原因是随着风力发电机组的国产化,当前风机的市场价格比企业原始购置成本大幅下降;评估净值减值1,380.17万元,减值率8.97%,评估原值减值是评估净值减值的主要原因。 b.车辆:评估原值减值2.38万元,减值率3.71%,减值的主要原因是车辆的市场价格不断下跌;评估净值增值8,98万元,增值率19.24%,评估净值增值是企业计提折旧年限短于评估采用的经济寿命年限所致。 c.电子设备:评估原值减值46.21万元,减值率61.38%,减值的主要原因一是电子设备市场价格逐年走低,二是部分逾龄电子设备在评估中按二手价评估;评估净值减值0.10万元,减值率0.41%,主要受评估原值减值的影响。 ③无形资产—土地使用权:评估增值179.15万元,增值率151.16%。根据宁夏恒正不动产评估咨询有限公司出具的《土地估价报告》,本次土地使用权评估增值,主要是纳入评估范围的宁国用(2013)第60076号、第60077号两宗土地2006年12月取得出让手续,青国用(2013)第60078号、第60069号土地分别于2010年10月和2013年5月取得出让手续。被评估单位取得宗地时,周围区域比较荒凉,位置偏僻、市政配套差,原始取得成本主要为出让金,每平方米单价分别为42.12元、10元、25元、86元,随着当地经济发展,委估宗地区域市政配套逐渐完善,所属区域评估基准日的基准地价达到86元/平方米,委估宗地也达到了三通一平状态,本次评估对委估宗地设定为出让条件下计算的评估值,上述几方面因素,使得委估宗地的土地使用权评估增值较大。 (6)预测期的现金流量情况(表中金额单位为万元) 收益法评估现金流量预测表——贺兰山发电厂 | 项目 | 2013年6-12月 | 2014年 | 2015年 | 2016年 | 2017年 | 2018年 | 2019年 | 2020年 | 2021年 | 2022年 | 2023年 | | 一、营业收入 | 1,314.53 | 6,540.76 | 6,540.76 | 6,540.76 | 6,540.76 | 6,540.76 | 6,540.76 | 6,540.76 | 6,540.76 | 6,540.76 | 6,540.76 | | 减:营业成本 | 1,020.94 | 3,373.90 | 3,395.83 | 3,418.85 | 3,443.02 | 3,468.40 | 3,468.40 | 3,468.40 | 3,468.40 | 3,468.40 | 3,468.40 | | 其他业务成本 | - | - | - | - | - | - | | | | | | | 税金及附加 | - | - | - | - | 65.54 | 65.48 | 65.48 | 65.48 | 65.48 | 65.48 | 65.48 | | 营业费用 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 管理费用 | 96.40 | 205.60 | 214.63 | 224.11 | 234.07 | 244.52 | 244.52 | 244.52 | 244.52 | 244.52 | 244.52 | | 财务费用 | 344.30 | 2,652.19 | 2,585.41 | 2,388.91 | 2,177.68 | 1,941.88 | 1,701.16 | 1,459.90 | 1,232.84 | 1,062.54 | 887.33 | | 资产减值损失 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 加:公允变动净损益 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 投资收益 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 二、营业利润 | (147.10) | 309.07 | 344.89 | 508.89 | 620.46 | 820.49 | 1,061.20 | 1,302.46 | 1,529.52 | 1,699.82 | 1,875.04 | | 加:营业外收入 | 7.00 | 20.00 | - | - | 269.41 | 545.65 | 545.65 | 545.65 | 545.65 | 545.65 | 545.65 | | 减:营业外支出 | - | - | - | - | - | - | | | | | | | 三、利润总额 | (140.10) | 329.07 | 344.89 | 508.89 | 889.87 | 1,366.14 | 1,606.85 | 1,848.11 | 2,075.18 | 2,245.48 | 2,420.69 | | 所得税税率 | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 25% | 25% | 25% | | 减:所得税 | (23.08) | 49.36 | 51.73 | 76.33 | 133.48 | 204.92 | 241.03 | 277.22 | 518.79 | 561.37 | 605.17 | | 四、净利润 | -117.03 | 279.71 | 293.16 | 432.55 | 756.39 | 1,161.22 | 1,365.82 | 1,570.89 | 1,556.38 | 1,684.11 | 1,815.52 | | 加:折旧及摊销 | 759.90 | 2,935.40 | 2,935.40 | 2,935.40 | 2,935.40 | 2,935.40 | 2,935.40 | 2,935.40 | 2,935.40 | 2,935.40 | 2,935.40 | | 抵扣设备增值税流入 | 223.47 | 1,111.93 | 1,111.93 | 1,111.93 | 553.47 | | | | | | | | 减:资本性支出 | 1,613.05 | 19.20 | 19.20 | 19.20 | 19.20 | 19.20 | 19.20 | 19.20 | 19.20 | 19.20 | 19.20 | | 营运资本追加额 | (709.15) | 545.56 | (8.36) | (34.85) | (13.61) | (32.15) | (51.15) | (51.27) | 3.63 | (31.93) | (32.85) | | 五、自由现金流量 | (37.57) | 3,762.28 | 4,329.65 | 4,495.53 | 4,239.66 | 4,109.56 | 4,333.17 | 4,538.36 | 4,468.95 | 4,632.24 | 4,764.57 | | 加:借款增加额 | 5,000.00 | 2,500.00 | -3,000.00 | -3,000.00 | -3,600.00 | -3,600.00 | -3,800.00 | -3,800.00 | -2,600.00 | -2,600.00 | -2,800.00 | | 减:借款减少额 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 六、股权现金流量 | 4,962.43 | 6,262.28 | 1,329.65 | 1,495.53 | 639.66 | 509.56 | 533.17 | 738.36 | 1,868.95 | 2,032.24 | 1,964.57 | | 折现率(r) | 12.39% | 12.71% | 12.32% | 11.93% | 11.46% | 10.99% | 10.49% | 10.00% | 9.39% | 9.09% | 8.77% | | 折现期数(n) | 0.58 | 1.58 | 2.58 | 3.58 | 4.58 | 5.58 | 6.58 | 7.58 | 8.58 | 9.58 | 10.58 | | 折现系数 | 0.93 | 0.83 | 0.74 | 0.66 | 0.59 | 0.53 | 0.48 | 0.44 | 0.40 | 0.37 | 0.34 | | 第一阶段折现值 | 4,635.62 | 5,189.95 | 981.07 | 985.85 | 378.31 | 271.52 | 257.12 | 323.71 | 749.03 | 746.58 | 663.53 | | 第一阶段回收残值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 七、未来净现金流量折现值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 加:非经营性资产评估值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 溢余资产 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 减:非经营性负债评估值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 八、股东全部权益价值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 账面值 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 增值额 | | | | | | | | | | | |
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