证券时报多媒体数字报

2015年1月14日 按日期查找: < 上一期 下一期 >

证券时报网络版郑重声明

经证券时报社授权,证券时报网独家全权代理《证券时报》信息登载业务。本页内容未经书面授权许可,不得转载、复制或在非证券时报网所属服务器建立镜像。欲咨询授权事宜请与证券时报网联系 (0755-83501827) 。

宁夏银星能源股份有限公司发行股份购买资产并募集配套资金暨关联交易报告书摘要

2014-02-12 来源:证券时报网 作者:

(上接B10版)

牛首山一期二期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——宁电风光

经营周期Year1Year2Year3Year4Year5Year6Year7Year8Year9Year10
电站总容量 9.909.99.99.99.99.99.99.99.9
有效利用小时 1,720.0017201720172017201720172017201720
发电量 17,028.001702817028170281702817028170281702817028
线损 3.10%3.10%3.10%3.10%3.10%3.10%3.10%3.10%3.10%
上网电量 16,500.1316,500.1316,500.1316,500.1316,500.1316,500.1316,500.1316,500.1316,500.13
单价0.500.500.500.500.500.500.500.500.500.50
营业收入 8,320.588,320.588,320.588,320.588,320.588,320.588,320.588,320.588,320.58
折旧与摊销 3,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.88
其他营业成本90.00891.00891.00891.00891.00891.00891.00891.00891.00891.00
贷款额55,687.5051,975.0048,262.5044,550.0040,837.5037,125.0033,412.5029,700.0025,987.5022,275.00
财务费用 3,525.953,282.783,039.612,796.442,553.272,310.102,066.931,823.771,580.60
税金附加6%75.7875.7875.7875.7875.7875.7875.7875.7875.78
补贴收入 707.25707.25707.25707.25707.25707.25707.25707.25707.25
利润总额 1,008.231,251.391,494.561,737.731,980.902,224.072,467.242,710.412,953.58
所得税率 0%0%0%12.50%12.50%12.50%25%25%25%
所得税 ---217.22247.61278.01616.81677.60738.39

净利润 1,008.231,251.391,494.561,520.511,733.291,946.061,850.432,032.802,215.18
折旧与摊销 3,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.88
资本性支出74,250.00         
借款变动55,687.50-3,712.50-3,712.50-3,712.50-3,712.50-3,712.50-3,712.50-3,712.50-3,712.50-3,712.50
股权现金流-18,562.50822.601,065.771,308.941,334.891,547.661,760.441,664.801,847.182,029.56
折现率(r)14.05%13.58%13.12%12.66%11.55%11.15%10.74%9.87%9.52%9.18%
折现系数0.880.770.680.610.540.490.440.400.370.34
折现值-16,276.13635.02727.32792.92724.88756.13776.65668.47677.20681.52
折现值加和219.71         
年金永续258.66         
NPV240.49         
总投资74,250.00         
造价(千)/万千瓦7,500.00         

牛首山一期二期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——宁电风光(续表)

经营周期Year11Year12Year13Year14Year15Year16Year17Year18Year19Year20Year21
电站总容量9.99.99.99.99.99.99.99.99.99.99.9
有效利用小时17201720172017201720172017201720172017201720
发电量1702817028170281702817028170281702817028170281702817028
线损3.10%3.10%3.10%3.10%3.10%3.10%3.10%3.10%3.10%3.10%3.10%
上网电量16,500.1316,500.1316,500.1316,500.1316,500.1316,500.1316,500.1316,500.1316,500.1316,500.1316,500.13
单价0.500.500.500.500.500.500.500.500.500.500.50
营业收入8,320.588,320.588,320.588,320.588,320.588,320.588,320.588,320.588,320.588,320.588,320.58
折旧与摊销3,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.88
其他营业成本891.00891.00891.00891.00891.00891.00891.00891.00891.00891.00891.00
贷款额18,562.5014,850.0011,137.507,425.003,712.50-     
财务费用1,337.431,094.26851.09607.92364.75121.58-----
税金附加75.7875.7875.7875.7875.7875.7875.7875.7875.7875.7875.78
补贴收入707.25707.25707.25707.25707.25707.25707.25707.25707.25707.25707.25
利润总额3,196.743,439.913,683.083,926.254,169.424,412.594,534.174,534.174,534.174,534.174,534.17
所得税率25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%
所得税799.19859.98920.77981.561,042.351,103.151,133.541,133.541,133.541,133.541,133.54

净利润2,397.562,579.932,762.312,944.693,127.063,309.443,400.633,400.633,400.633,400.633,400.63
折旧与摊销3,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.883,526.88
资本性支出           
借款变动-3,712.50-3,712.50-3,712.50-3,712.50-3,712.50-3,712.50-----
股权现金流2,211.932,394.312,576.692,759.062,941.443,123.826,927.506,927.506,927.506,927.506,927.50
折现率(r)8.83%8.48%8.13%7.79%7.44%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%
折现系数0.310.280.260.240.230.210.200.180.170.160.15
折现值682.50681.02677.77673.32668.14662.591,372.111,281.281,196.461,117.251,043.29
折现值加和           
年金永续           
NPV2           
总投资           
造价(千)/万千瓦           

3、神州风电50%股权

(1)成本法评估情况

在持续经营前提下,神州风电于评估基准日的总资产账面价值为17,423.36万元,评估价值为13,762.27万元,减值额为3,661.09万元,减值率为21.01%;总负债账面价值为12,198.74万元,评估价值为12,198.74万元,增值额0.00万元,增值率0.00%;净资产账面价值为5,224.62万元,净资产评估价值为1,563.53万元,减值额为3,661.09万元,减值率为70.07%。

按中铝宁夏能源持有神州风电50%股权比例计算,中铝宁夏能源拥有的权益价值评估值为781.76万元,减值1,830.55万元,减值率为70.07%。各类资产及负债评估结果见下表。

单位:万元

项目账面价值评估价值增减值增值率%
1流动资产1,786.971,786.970.000.00
2非流动资产15,636.3911,975.30-3,661.09-23.41
3其中:投资性房地产    
4固定资产15,631.7211,968.67-3,663.05-23.43
5在建工程    
6工程物资    
7无形资产4.676.631.9641.97
8长期待摊费用    
9递延所得税资产    
10其他非流动资产    
11资产总计17,423.3613,762.27-3,661.09-21.01
12流动负债4,650.574,650.570.000.00
13非流动负债7,548.177,548.170.000.00
14负债合计12,198.7412,198.740.000.00
15股东全部权益5,224.621,563.53-3,661.09-70.07

本次评估未考虑评估增值可能产生的所得税对股权价值的影响。

(2)收益法评估结果

在持续经营前提下,神州风电于评估基准日审计后的净资产账面价值为5,224.62万元,收益法评估值6,117.74万元,增值额893.12万元,增值率17.09%。

(3)评估结论的确定

神州风电在持续经营假设前提下具有独立获利能力,而成本法主要反映的是单个资产价值的简单加和,没有考虑各单项资产带来的协同效应,同时忽略了企业的盈利能力等因素。因此以收益法的评估结果作为最终评估结论,能够更加客观反映被评估单位的企业价值,恰当服务于本次评估目的。所以,本次评估以收益法的评估结果作为最终的评估结论,神州风电全部股东权益以收益法评估结果为6117.74万元,中铝宁夏能源持有的神州风电50%股权评估值为3,058.87万元。

(4)收益法评估结果与成本法评估结果比较

收益法评估结果比成本法评估结果多4,554.21万元,原因如下:

①成本法评估思路是各单项资产重置建造成本的加和,收益法评估思路认为被评估单位各单项资产有机结合,发挥协同效应并创造稳定收益,收益法评估是通过对被评估单位未来收益进行折现反映被评估单位客观价值。评估途径的差异,是导致评估结果不同的原因之一。

②被评估单位开展风电业务较早,一方面,风场建造成本相对较高,另一方面,被评估单位各风场选址好,占据了有利的风力资源条件,所选风场全年均可发电,年平均发电小时较多,年上网电量也较高。被评估单位所处风场较好,是两种评估方法结果差异原因之一。

(5)成本法评估结果与账面值差异的分析

成本法评估结果较账面价值减值3,661.09万元,减值率70.07%,减值原因如下:

①房屋建筑物类资产:评估原值增值125.15万元,增值率55.00%;评估净值增值138.37万元,增值率149.50%。评估值增值原因如下:

a.本次评估的部分建(构)筑物大多始建于2004年左右,当时房屋构筑物的建设成本较低,而近年来宁夏当地的建筑材料价格及人工成本等持续走高,造成房屋建筑物及构筑物的建筑成本不断提高。

b.建(构)筑物的实际耐用年限长于会计的折旧年限,且被评估单位对房屋建筑物的维护状态较好,综合成新率较账面成新率高。

②设备类资产:评估原值减值7,061.67万元,减值率28.30%;评估净值减值3,801.42万元,减值率24.46%。主要原因如下:

a.机器设备:评估原值减值7,043.98万元,减值率28.36%,减值的主要原因是,随着风力发电机组的国产化,当前风机的市场价格比企业原始购置成本大幅下降;评估净值减值3,851.96万元,减值率24.82%,评估原值减值是评估净值减值的主要原因。

b.车辆:评估原值减值9.65万元,减值率9.32%,减值的主要原因是车辆的市场价格不断下跌;评估净值增值51.28万元,增值率362.07%,评估净值增值是企业计提折旧年限短于评估采用的经济寿命年限所致。

c.电子设备:评估原值减值8.04万元,减值率55.10%,减值的主要原因一是电子设备市场价格逐年走低,二是部分逾龄电子设备在评估中按二手价评估;评估净值减值0.74万元,减值率21.83%,评估原值减值是评估净值减值的主要原因。

③无形资产—土地使用权:评估增值1.96万元,增值率41.79%,根据内蒙古正誉不动产评估咨询有限责任公司出具的《土地估价报告》,本次土地使用权评估增值主要原因为纳入评估范围的土地取得于2009年4月,被评估单位取得宗地时,周围区域比较荒凉,位置偏僻、市政配套差,原始取得成本主要为出让金及征地补偿费等,每平方米单价为46元,随着当地经济发展,委估宗地区域市政配套逐渐完善,委估宗地也达到了三通一平状态,本次评估对委估宗地设定为出让条件下计算的评估值,评估基准日的评估价为60元/平方米,上述几方面因素,使得委估宗地的土地使用权评估有所增值。

(6)预测期的现金流量情况(表中金额单位为万元)

收益法评估现金流量预测表——神州风电

项目2013年6-12月2014年2015年2016年2017年2018年2019年2020年2021年2022年2023年
一、营业收入1,347.782,570.502,570.502,570.502,570.502,570.502,570.502,570.502,570.502,570.502,570.50
减:营业成本1,019.821,660.941,682.821,705.791,729.921,755.241,755.241,755.241,755.241,755.241,755.24
其他业务成本           
税金及附加18.9840.4940.3240.1639.9839.7939.7939.7939.7939.7939.79
营业费用           
管理费用           
财务费用391.06601.62531.91461.19390.47319.74249.02145.02107.21107.21107.21
资产减值损失           
加:公允变动净损益           
投资收益           
二、营业利润(82.10)267.46315.44363.36410.14455.72526.44630.45668.26668.26668.26
加:营业外收入94.92202.43201.62200.78199.90198.97198.97198.97198.97198.97198.97
减:营业外支出           
三、利润总额12.83469.89517.07564.14610.04654.69725.41829.41867.22867.22867.22
所得税税率15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%25%25%25%
减:所得税1.9270.4877.5684.6291.5198.20108.81124.41216.81216.81216.81
四、净利润10.90399.40439.51479.52518.53556.48616.60705.00650.42650.42650.42
加:折旧及摊销713.631,223.371,223.371,223.371,223.371,223.371,223.371,223.371,223.371,223.371,223.37
减:资本性支出14.4424.7624.7624.7624.7624.7624.7624.7624.7624.7624.76
营运资本追加额(43.34)(20.25)(10.23)(10.21)(9.97)(9.72)(15.03)(22.10)13.65- 
五、净现金流量753.431,618.261,648.351,688.351,727.121,764.821,830.241,925.711,835.381,849.031,849.03
加:借款变动额-1,112.65-1,064.20-1,079.73-1,079.73-1,079.73-1,079.73-1,587.86-577.19-0.00--
六、股权现金流量(359.22)554.06568.62608.62647.39685.09242.381,348.521,835.381,849.031,849.03
折现率(r)10.83%10.43%10.02%9.62%9.22%8.81%8.22%8.00%7.93%7.93%7.93%
折现期数(n)0.581.582.583.584.585.586.587.588.589.5810.58
折现系数0.940.850.780.710.650.600.550.510.470.440.40
折现值(338.32)472.54440.78430.39419.18407.67133.28686.59865.79808.13748.75
第一阶段回收残值           
永续期各项工程价值           
七、未来净现金流量折现值           
加:非经营性资产评估值           
溢余资产           
减:非经营性负债评估值           
八、股东全部权益价值           
账面值           
增值额           

收益法评估现金流量预测表——神州风电(续表)

项目2024年2025年2026年2027年2028年
一、营业收入1,721.99873.47873.47873.47 
减:营业成本1,755.241,199.28636.60636.60 
其他业务成本     
税金及附加25.3712.2513.5513.55 
营业费用     
管理费用     
财务费用107.21107.21107.21107.21 
资产减值损失     
加:公允变动净损益     
投资收益     
二、营业利润(165.83)(445.27)116.12116.12 
加:营业外收入126.8461.2367.7467.74 
减:营业外支出     
三、利润总额(38.99)(384.04)183.85183.85 
所得税税率25%25%25%25% 
减:所得税(9.75)(96.01)45.9645.96 
四、净利润-29.24-288.03137.89137.89 
加:折旧及摊销1,223.37844.70459.31459.31 
减:资本性支出24.7624.7624.7624.76 
营运资本追加额     
五、净现金流量1,169.37531.91572.44572.44 
加:借款增加额---- 
减:借款减少额     
六、股权现金流量1,169.37531.91572.44572.44 
折现率(r)7.93%7.93%7.93%7.93% 
折现期数(n)11.5812.5813.5814.58 
折现系数0.380.350.320.30 
折现值438.73184.90184.36170.82 
第一阶段回收残值    375.68
永续期各项工程价值    493.40
七、未来净现金流量折现值    6,922.66
加:非经营性资产评估值    726.59
溢余资产     
减:非经营性负债评估值    1,531.51
八、股东全部权益价值    6,117.74
账面值    5,224.62
增值额    893.12

贺兰山风电场二期扩建项目第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——神州风电

经营周期Year1Year2Year3Year4Year5Year6Year7Year8Year9Year10
电站总容量 1.051.051.051.051.051.051.051.051.05
有效利用小时 195019501950195019501950195019501950
发电量 2047.52047.52047.52047.52047.52047.52047.52047.52047.5
线损 2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%
上网电量 1,994.121,994.121,994.121,994.121,994.121,994.121,994.121,994.121,994.12
单价0.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.46
营业收入 920.69920.69920.69920.69920.69920.69920.69920.69920.69
折旧与摊销 374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06
其他营业成本100105.00105.00105.00105.00105.00105.00105.00105.00105.00
贷款额3,937.503,675.003,412.503,150.002,887.502,625.002,362.502,100.001,837.501,575.00
财务费用 249.31232.12214.92197.73180.53163.34146.15128.95111.76
税金附加10%13.8713.8713.8713.8713.8713.8713.8713.8713.87
补贴收入 78.2678.2678.2678.2678.2678.2678.2678.2678.26
利润总额 256.71273.90291.09308.29325.48342.67359.87377.06394.26
所得税率 0%0%0%12.50%12.50%12.50%25%25%25%
所得税 ---38.5440.6942.8389.9794.2798.56

经营周期Year1Year2Year3Year4Year5Year6Year7Year8Year9Year10
净利润 256.71273.90291.09269.75284.80299.84269.90282.80295.69
折旧与摊销 374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06
资本性支出7,875.00         
借款变动3,937.50-262.50-262.50-262.50-262.50-262.50-262.50-262.50-262.50-262.50
股权现金流-3,937.50368.27385.46402.66381.31396.36411.40381.46394.36407.25
折现率(r)9.41%9.25%9.10%8.94%8.58%8.44%8.31%8.02%7.90%7.79%
折现系数0.910.840.770.700.650.600.550.510.470.44
折现值-3,598.89308.09295.58283.41247.19236.94227.07194.92186.75178.93
折现值加和371.30         
年金永续466.16         
NPV2174.90         
总投资7,875.00         
造价(千)/万千瓦7,500.00         

贺兰山风电场二期扩建项目第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——神州风电(续表)

经营周期Year11Year12Year13Year14Year15Year16Year17Year18Year19Year20Year21
电站总容量1.051.051.051.051.051.051.051.051.051.051.05
有效利用小时19501950195019501950195019501950195019501950
发电量2047.52047.52047.52047.52047.52047.52047.52047.52047.52047.52047.5
线损2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%
上网电量1,994.121,994.121,994.121,994.121,994.121,994.121,994.121,994.121,994.121,994.121,994.12
单价0.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.46
营业收入920.69920.69920.69920.69920.69920.69920.69920.69920.69920.69920.69
折旧与摊销374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06
其他营业成本105.00105.00105.00105.00105.00105.00105.00105.00105.00105.00105.00
贷款额1,312.501,050.00787.50525.00262.50-     
财务费用94.5777.3760.1842.9825.798.60-----
税金附加13.8713.8713.8713.8713.8713.8713.8713.8713.8713.8713.87
补贴收入78.2678.2678.2678.2678.2678.2678.2678.2678.2678.2678.26
利润总额411.45428.64445.84463.03480.22497.42506.02506.02506.02506.02506.02
所得税率25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%
所得税102.86107.16111.46115.76120.06124.35126.50126.50126.50126.50126.50

净利润308.59321.48334.38347.27360.17373.06379.51379.51379.51379.51379.51
折旧与摊销374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06374.06
资本性支出           
借款变动-262.50-262.50-262.50-262.50-262.50-262.50-----
股权现金流420.15433.05445.94458.84471.73484.63753.57753.57753.57753.57753.57
折现率(r)7.67%7.55%7.44%7.32%7.21%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%
折现系数0.410.380.350.330.310.290.270.250.230.220.20
折现值171.44164.30157.48150.98144.79138.90201.68188.33175.86164.22153.35
折现值加和           
年金永续           
NPV2           
总投资           
造价(千)/万千瓦           

天净神州二期扩建项目第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——神州风电

经营周期Year1Year2Year3Year4Year5Year6Year7Year8Year9Year10
电站总容量 1.021.021.021.021.021.021.021.021.02
有效利用小时 195019501950195019501950195019501950
发电量 198919891989198919891989198919891989
线损 2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%
上网电量 1,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.15
单价0.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.46
营业收入 894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38
折旧与摊销 363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38
其他营业成本100102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00
贷款额3,825.003,570.003,315.003,060.002,805.002,550.002,295.002,040.001,785.001,530.00
财务费用 242.19225.48208.78192.08175.38158.67141.97125.27108.57
税金附加10%13.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.47
补贴收入 76.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.02
利润总额 249.37266.07282.78299.48316.18332.88349.59366.29382.99
所得税率 0%0%0%12.50%12.50%12.50%25%25%25%
所得税 ---37.4339.5241.6187.4091.5795.75

净利润 249.37266.07282.78262.04276.66291.27262.19274.72287.24
折旧与摊销 363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38
资本性支出7,650.00         
借款变动3,825.00-255.00-255.00-255.00-255.00-255.00-255.00-255.00-255.00-255.00
股权现金流-3,825.00357.75374.45391.15370.42385.03399.65370.56383.09395.62
折现率(r)9.41%9.25%9.10%8.94%8.58%8.44%8.31%8.02%7.90%7.79%
折现系数0.910.840.770.700.650.600.550.510.470.44
折现值-3,496.07299.29287.13275.31240.12230.17220.58189.35181.41173.81
折现值加和360.69         
年金永续452.84         
NPV2135.13         
总投资7,650.00         
造价(千)/万千瓦7,500.00         

天净神州二期扩建项目第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——神州风电(续表)

经营周期Year11Year12Year13Year14Year15Year16Year17Year18Year19Year20Year21
电站总容量1.021.021.021.021.021.021.021.021.021.021.02
有效利用小时19501950195019501950195019501950195019501950
发电量19891989198919891989198919891989198919891989
线损2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%
上网电量1,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.15
单价0.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.46
营业收入894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38
折旧与摊销363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38
其他营业成本102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00
贷款额1,275.001,020.00765.00510.00255.00-     
财务费用91.8675.1658.4641.7625.058.35-----
税金附加13.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.47
补贴收入76.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.02
利润总额399.69416.40433.10449.80466.50483.21491.56491.56491.56491.56491.56
所得税率25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%
所得税99.92104.10108.27112.45116.63120.80122.89122.89122.89122.89122.89

净利润299.77312.30324.82337.35349.88362.40368.67368.67368.67368.67368.67
折旧与摊销363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38
资本性支出           
借款变动-255.00-255.00-255.00-255.00-255.00-255.00-----
股权现金流408.15420.67433.20445.73458.25470.78732.04732.04732.04732.04732.04
折现率(r)7.67%7.55%7.44%7.32%7.21%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%
折现系数0.410.380.350.330.310.290.270.250.230.220.20
折现值166.55159.60152.98146.66140.65134.93195.92182.95170.84159.53148.97
折现值加和           
年金永续           
NPV2           
总投资           
造价(千)/万千瓦           

贺兰山风电场二期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——神州风电

经营周期Year1Year2Year3Year4Year5Year6Year7Year8Year9Year10
电站总容量 1.021.021.021.021.021.021.021.021.02
有效利用小时 195019501950195019501950195019501950
发电量 1,989.0019891989198919891989198919891989
线损 2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%
上网电量 1,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.15
单价0.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.46
营业收入 894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38
折旧与摊销 363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38
其他营业成本100102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00
贷款额3,825.003,570.003,315.003,060.002,805.002,550.002,295.002,040.001,785.001,530.00
财务费用 242.19225.48208.78192.08175.38158.67141.97125.27108.57
税金附加10%13.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.47
补贴收入 76.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.02
利润总额 249.37266.07282.78299.48316.18332.88349.59366.29382.99
所得税率 0%0%0%12.50%12.50%12.50%25%25%25%
所得税 ---37.4339.5241.6187.4091.5795.75

净利润 249.37266.07282.78262.04276.66291.27262.19274.72287.24
折旧与摊销 363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38
资本性支出7,650.00         
借款变动3,825.00-255.00-255.00-255.00-255.00-255.00-255.00-255.00-255.00-255.00
股权现金流-3,825.00357.75374.45391.15370.42385.03399.65370.56383.09395.62
折现率(r)9.41%9.25%9.10%8.94%8.58%8.44%8.31%8.02%7.90%7.79%
折现系数0.910.840.770.700.650.600.550.510.470.44
折现值-3,496.07299.29287.13275.31240.12230.17220.58189.35181.41173.81
折现值加和360.69         
年金永续452.84         
NPV2183.37         
总投资7,650.00         
造价(千)/万千瓦7,500.00         

贺兰山风电场二期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——神州风电(续表)

经营周期Year11Year12Year13Year14Year15Year16Year17Year18Year19Year20Year21
电站总容量1.021.021.021.021.021.021.021.021.021.021.02
有效利用小时19501950195019501950195019501950195019501950
发电量19891989198919891989198919891989198919891989
线损2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%
上网电量1,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.151,937.15
单价0.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.460.46
营业收入894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38894.38
折旧与摊销363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38
其他营业成本102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00102.00
贷款额1,275.001,020.00765.00510.00255.00-     
财务费用91.8675.1658.4641.7625.058.35-----
税金附加13.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.4713.47
补贴收入76.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.0276.02
利润总额399.69416.40433.10449.80466.50483.21491.56491.56491.56491.56491.56
所得税率25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%
所得税99.92104.10108.27112.45116.63120.80122.89122.89122.89122.89122.89

经营周期Year11Year12Year13Year14Year15Year16Year17Year18Year19Year20Year21
净利润299.77312.30324.82337.35349.88362.40368.67368.67368.67368.67368.67
折旧与摊销363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38363.38
资本性支出           
借款变动-255.00-255.00-255.00-255.00-255.00-255.00-----
股权现金流408.15420.67433.20445.73458.25470.78732.04732.04732.04732.04732.04
折现率(r)7.67%7.55%7.44%7.32%7.21%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%
折现系数0.410.380.350.330.310.290.270.250.230.220.20
折现值166.55159.60152.98146.66140.65134.93195.92182.95170.84159.53148.97
折现值加和           
年金永续           
NPV2           
总投资           
造价(千)/万千瓦           

4、阿左旗分公司

(1)成本法评估情况

在持续经营前提下,阿左旗分公司于评估基准日的总资产账面价值为89,170.32万元,评估价值为66,428.15万元,减值额为22,742.17万元,减值率为25.50%;总负债账面价值为60,199.50万元,评估价值60,199.50万元,增值额0.00万元,增值率0.00%;净资产账面价值为28,970.82万元,净资产评估价值为6,228.65万元,减值额为22,742.17万元,减值率为78.50%。各类资产及负债评估结果见下表:

单位:万元

项目账面价值评估价值增减值增值率%
1流动资产2,081.242,081.240.000.00
2非流动资产87,089.0864,346.91-22,742.17-26.11
3其中:投资性房地产    
4固定资产87,008.6464,182.13-22,826.51-26.23
5在建工程50.0050.000.000.00
6工程物资    
7无形资产29.45113.7984.34286.38
8长期待摊费用    
9递延所得税资产0.990.990.000.00
10其他非流动资产    
11资产总计89,170.3266,428.15-22,742.17-25.50
12流动负债7,806.507,806.500.000.00
13非流动负债52,393.0052,393.000.000.00
14负债合计60,199.5060,199.500.000.00
15净资产28,970.826,228.65-22,742.17-78.50

本次评估未考虑评估增值可能产生的所得税对净资产价值的影响。

(2)收益法评估结果

在持续经营前提下,阿左旗分公司于评估基准日审计后的净资产账面价值为28,970.82万元,收益法评估值29,176.79万元,增值额205.97万元,增值率0.71%。

(3)评估结论的确定

阿左旗分公司在持续经营假设前提下具有独立获利能力,而成本法主要反映的是单个资产价值的简单加和,没有考虑各单项资产带来的协同效应,同时忽略了企业的盈利能力等因素。因此以收益法的评估结果作为最终评估结论,能够更加客观反映被评估单位的企业价值,恰当服务于本次评估目的。所以,本次评估以收益法的评估结果作为最终的评估结论,阿左旗分公司净资产以收益法评估结果为29,176.79万元。

(4)收益法评估结果与成本法评估结果比较

收益法评估结果比成本法评估结果多22,948.14万元,原因如下:

①成本法评估思路是各单项资产重置建造成本的加和,收益法评估思路认为被评估单位各单项资产有机结合,发挥协同效应并创造稳定收益,收益法评估是通过对被评估单位未来收益进行折现反映被评估单位客观价值。评估途径的差异,是导致评估结果不同的原因之一。

②被评估单位开展风电业务较早,一方面,风电场建造成本相对较高;另一方面,被评估单位各风场选址好,占据了有利的风力资源条件,所选风场全年均可发电,年平均发电小时较多,年上网电量也较高。被评估单位所处风场较好,是两种评估方法结果差异原因之一。

(5)成本法评估结果与账面值差异的分析

成本法评估结果较账面价值减值22,742.17万元,减值率78.50%,增减值原因如下:

①房屋建筑物类资产:评估原值减增值1,728.13万元,增值率23.81%;评估净值增值1,152.10万元,增值率22.28%。评估值增值原因如下:

a.本次评估的建(构)筑物主要建成于2005年、2006年,由于建设年代较早,当时的建设成本较低,而近年来当地的建筑材料价格及人工成本持续走高,造成房屋建筑物及构筑物的建筑成本不断提高。

b.建(构)筑物的实际耐用年限长于会计的折旧年限,且被评估单位对房屋建筑物的维护状态较好,综合成新率较账面成新率高。

②设备类资产:评估原值减值36,953.02万元,减值率31.60%;评估净值减值23,978.61万元,减值率24.46%。主要原因如下:

a.机器设备:评估原值减值36,853.90万元,减值率31.61%,减值的主要原因是,随着风力发电机组的国产化,当前风机的市场价格比企业原始购置成本大幅下降;评估净值减值24,084.98万元,减值率29.44%,评估原值减值是造成评估净值减值的主要原因。

b.车辆:评估原值减值43.95万元,减值率14.70%,减值的主要原因是车辆的市场价格不断下跌;评估净值增值108.29万元,增值率418.40%,评估净值增值的原因是企业计提折旧年限较短、折旧速率大于资产的实体性损耗,因此评估增值。

c.电子设备:评估原值55.18万元,减值率85.99%,减值的主要原因一是电子设备市场价格逐年走低,二是部分逾龄电子设备在评估中按二手价评估;评估净值减值1.92万元,减值率38.44%,评估原值减值是评估净值减值的主要原因。

③无形资产—土地使用权:评估增值84.34万元,增值率286.38%。根据内蒙古正誉不动产评估咨询有限责任公司出具的《土地估价报告》,本次土地使用权评估增值主要原因为纳入评估范围的土地所有权取得于2009年2月,被评估单位取得宗地时,周围区域比较荒凉,位置偏僻、市政配套差,原始取得成本主要为出让金,每平方米单价17元,随着当地经济发展,委估宗地区域市政配套逐渐完善,委估宗地也达到了三通一平状态,本次评估对委估宗地设定为出让条件下计算的评估值,评估基准日的评估价为60元/平方米。上述几方面因素,使得委估宗地的土地使用权评估增值较大。

(6)预测期的现金流量情况(表中金额单位为万元)

收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司

项目2013年6-12月2014年2015年2016年2017年2018年2019年2020年2021年2022年2023年
一、营业收入6,466.4012,018.3812,018.3812,018.3812,018.3812,018.3812,018.3812,018.3812,018.3812,018.3812,018.38
减:营业成本3,968.106,948.717,003.277,060.557,120.707,183.857,183.857,183.857,183.857,183.857,183.85
其他业务成本           
税金及附加88.92193.53192.99192.43191.83191.21191.21191.21191.21191.21191.21
营业费用           
管理费用219.00493.60514.03535.48558.01581.66581.66581.66581.66581.66581.66
财务费用2,065.003,292.162,861.622,421.271,971.091,514.351,053.86657.98325.2479.61(0.30)
资产减值损失           
加:公允变动净损益           
投资收益           
二、营业利润125.381,090.381,446.471,808.662,176.762,547.313,007.813,403.693,736.433,982.064,061.97
加:营业外收入548.781,141.961,164.961,162.131,159.161,156.041,156.041,156.041,156.041,156.041,156.04
减:营业外支出           
三、利润总额674.162,232.342,611.432,970.793,335.923,703.354,163.854,559.734,892.475,138.105,218.01
所得税税率15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%25%25%25%
减:所得税101.12334.85391.71445.62500.39555.50624.58683.961,223.121,284.521,304.50
四、净利润573.041,897.492,219.722,525.172,835.543,147.853,539.273,875.773,669.363,853.573,913.51
加:折旧及摊销3,387.845,857.605,857.605,857.605,857.605,857.605,857.605,857.605,857.605,857.605,857.60
减:资本性支出3.8056.8056.8056.8056.8056.8056.8056.8056.8056.8056.80
营运资本追加额1,256.1442.32(74.81)(77.07)(78.33)(78.86)(97.86)(84.12)51.60(46.05)(14.98)
五、自由现金流量2,700.947,655.978,095.328,403.048,714.679,027.519,437.939,760.709,418.559,700.439,729.29
加:借款增加额-4,933.00-6,573.00-6,573.00-6,873.00-6,873.00-7,073.00-6,988.00-5,100.00-5,060.00-2,440.00-
减:借款减少额           
六、股权现金流量(2,232.06)1,082.971,522.321,530.041,841.671,954.512,449.934,660.704,358.557,260.439,729.29
折现率(r)(wacc)11.02%10.58%10.14%9.67%9.21%8.73%8.26%7.92%7.56%7.41%7.41%
折现期数(n)0.581.582.583.584.585.586.587.588.589.5810.58
折现系数0.940.850.770.700.640.590.550.510.470.440.41
折现值(2,099.98)921.401,176.001,077.721,187.841,159.391,342.382,366.402,057.543,190.983,981.06
第一阶段回收残值           
永续期各项工程价值           
七、未来净现金流量折现值           
加:非经营性资产评估值           
溢余资产           
减:非经营性负债评估值           
八、股东全部权益价值           
账面值           
增值额           

收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司(续表)

项目2024年2025年2026年2027年2028年2029年
一、营业收入10,320.056,923.386,923.383,551.693,551.693,551.69
减:营业成本6,153.264,092.074,092.072,046.032,017.862,017.86
其他业务成本      
税金及附加164.22110.23110.2356.6556.6556.65
营业费用      
管理费用581.66581.66581.66581.66581.66581.66
财务费用(0.30)(0.30)(0.30)(0.30)(0.30) 
资产减值损失      
加:公允变动净损益      
投资收益      
二、营业利润3,421.222,139.732,139.73867.66895.83895.53
加:营业外收入1,021.08751.17751.17483.23483.23483.23
减:营业外支出      
三、利润总额4,442.302,890.892,890.891,350.891,379.061,378.76
所得税税率25%25%25%25%25%25%
减:所得税1,110.58722.72722.72337.72344.77344.69
四、净利润3,331.732,168.172,168.171,013.171,034.301,034.07
加:折旧及摊销5,017.273,336.613,336.611,668.301,640.131,640.13
减:资本性支出56.8056.8056.8056.8056.8056.80
营运资本追加额      
五、自由现金流量8,292.205,447.985,447.982,624.672,617.622,617.40
加:借款增加额------
减:借款减少额      
六、股权现金流量8,292.205,447.985,447.982,624.672,617.622,617.40
折现率(r)(wacc)7.41%7.41%7.41%7.41%7.41%7.41%
折现期数(n)11.5812.5813.5814.5815.5816.58
折现系数0.380.350.330.310.290.27
折现值3,158.951,932.251,798.95806.89749.21697.47
第一阶段回收残值     1,654.77
永续期各项工程价值     1,559.58
七、未来净现金流量折现值     28,718.79
加:非经营性资产评估值      
溢余资产     887.57
减:非经营性负债评估值     429.56
八、股东全部权益价值     29,176.79
账面值     28,970.82
增值额     205.97

贺兰山一期三期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司

经营周期Year1Year2Year3Year4Year5Year6Year7Year8Year9Year10
电站总容量 2.042.042.042.042.042.042.042.042.04
有效利用小时 1,950.0019501950195019501950195019501950
发电量 3,978.0039783978397839783978397839783978
线损 2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%
上网电量 3,862.393,862.393,862.393,862.393,862.393,862.393,862.393,862.393,862.39
单价0.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.49
营业收入 1,881.681,881.681,881.681,881.681,881.681,881.681,881.681,881.681,881.68
折旧与摊销 726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75
其他营业成本135.00275.40275.40275.40275.40275.40275.40275.40275.40275.40
贷款额7,650.007,140.006,630.006,120.005,610.005,100.004,590.004,080.003,570.003,060.00
财务费用 484.37450.97417.56384.16350.75317.35283.94250.54217.13
税金附加10%27.3127.3127.3127.3127.3127.3127.3127.3127.31
补贴收入 159.94159.94159.94159.94159.94159.94159.94159.94159.94
利润总额 527.79561.19594.60628.00661.41694.81728.22761.62795.03
所得税率 0%0%0%12.50%12.50%12.50%25%25%25%
所得税 ---78.5082.6886.85182.05190.41198.76

净利润 527.79561.19594.60549.50578.73607.96546.16571.22596.27
折旧与摊销 726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75
资本性支出15,300.00         
借款变动7,650.00-510.00-510.00-510.00-510.00-510.00-510.00-510.00-510.00-510.00
股权现金流-7,650.00744.54777.94811.35766.25795.48824.71762.91787.97813.02
折现率(r)9.41%9.25%9.10%8.94%8.58%8.44%8.31%8.02%7.90%7.79%
折现系数0.910.840.770.700.650.600.550.510.470.44
折现值-6,992.13622.87596.54571.07496.72475.53455.19389.83373.14357.20
折现值加和935.60         
年金永续1,174.63         
NPV2447.48         
总投资15,300.00         
造价(千)/万千瓦7,500.00         

贺兰山一期三期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司(续表)

经营周期Year11Year12Year13Year14Year15Year16Year17Year18Year19Year20Year21
电站总容量2.042.042.042.042.042.042.042.042.042.042.04
有效利用小时19501950195019501950195019501950195019501950
发电量39783978397839783978397839783978397839783978
线损2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%
上网电量3,862.393,862.393,862.393,862.393,862.393,862.393,862.393,862.393,862.393,862.393,862.39
单价0.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.49
营业收入1,881.681,881.681,881.681,881.681,881.681,881.681,881.681,881.681,881.681,881.681,881.68
折旧与摊销726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75
其他营业成本275.40275.40275.40275.40275.40275.40275.40275.40275.40275.40275.40
贷款额2,550.002,040.001,530.001,020.00510.00-     
财务费用183.73150.32116.9283.5150.1116.70-----
税金附加27.3127.3127.3127.3127.3127.3127.3127.3127.3127.3127.31
补贴收入159.94159.94159.94159.94159.94159.94159.94159.94159.94159.94159.94
利润总额828.43861.84895.24928.65962.05995.461,012.161,012.161,012.161,012.161,012.16
所得税率25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%
所得税207.11215.46223.81232.16240.51248.86253.04253.04253.04253.04253.04

净利润621.33646.38671.43696.49721.54746.59759.12759.12759.12759.12759.12
折旧与摊销726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75726.75
资本性支出           
借款变动-510.00-510.00-510.00-510.00-510.00-510.00-----
股权现金流838.08863.13888.18913.24938.29963.341,485.871,485.871,485.871,485.871,485.87
折现率(r)7.67%7.55%7.44%7.32%7.21%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%
折现系数0.410.380.350.330.310.290.270.250.230.220.20
折现值341.98327.47313.65300.49287.99276.10397.67371.35346.76323.81302.37
折现值加和           
年金永续           
NPV2           
总投资           
造价(千)/万千瓦           

发电一期A工程发电二期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司

经营周期Year1Year2Year3Year4Year5Year6Year7Year8Year9Year10
电站总容量 4.084.084.084.084.084.084.084.084.08
有效利用小时 1,950.0019501950195019501950195019501950
发电量 7,956.0079567956795679567956795679567956
线损 2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%
上网电量 7,724.787,724.787,724.787,724.787,724.787,724.787,724.787,724.787,724.78
单价0.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.49
营业收入 3,763.353,763.353,763.353,763.353,763.353,763.353,763.353,763.353,763.35
折旧与摊销 1,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.50
其他营业成本135.00550.80550.80550.80550.80550.80550.80550.80550.80550.80
贷款额22,950.0021,420.0019,890.0018,360.0016,830.0015,300.0013,770.0012,240.0010,710.009,180.00
财务费用 1,453.121,352.901,252.691,152.471,052.26952.04851.83751.61651.40
税金附加10%54.6154.6154.6154.6154.6154.6154.6154.6154.61
补贴收入 319.88319.88319.88319.88319.88319.88319.88319.88319.88
利润总额 571.21671.42771.64871.85972.071,072.281,172.501,272.711,372.93
所得税率 0%0%0%12.50%12.50%12.50%25%25%25%
所得税 ---108.98121.51134.04293.12318.18343.23

净利润 571.21671.42771.64762.87850.56938.25879.37954.531,029.69
折旧与摊销 1,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.50
资本性支出30,600.00         
借款变动22,950.00-1,530.00-1,530.00-1,530.00-1,530.00-1,530.00-1,530.00-1,530.00-1,530.00-1,530.00
股权现金流-7,650.00494.71594.92695.14686.37774.06861.75802.87878.03953.19
折现率(r)14.05%13.58%13.12%12.66%11.55%11.15%10.74%9.87%9.52%9.18%
折现系数0.880.770.680.610.540.490.440.400.370.34
折现值-6,707.74381.90406.00421.09372.72378.18380.18322.38321.90320.08
折现值加和1,021.92         
年金永续1,203.11         
NPV2426.71         
总投资30,600.00         
造价(千)/万千瓦7,500.00         

发电一期A工程发电二期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司(续表)

经营周期Year11Year12Year13Year14Year15Year16Year17Year18Year19Year20Year21
电站总容量4.084.084.084.084.084.084.084.084.084.084.08
有效利用小时19501950195019501950195019501950195019501950
发电量79567956795679567956795679567956795679567956
线损2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%
上网电量7,724.787,724.787,724.787,724.787,724.787,724.787,724.787,724.787,724.787,724.787,724.78
单价0.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.49
营业收入3,763.353,763.353,763.353,763.353,763.353,763.353,763.353,763.353,763.353,763.353,763.35
折旧与摊销1,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.50
其他营业成本550.80550.80550.80550.80550.80550.80550.80550.80550.80550.80550.80
贷款额7,650.006,120.004,590.003,060.001,530.00-     
财务费用551.18450.97350.75250.54150.3250.11-----
税金附加54.6154.6154.6154.6154.6154.6154.6154.6154.6154.6154.61
补贴收入319.88319.88319.88319.88319.88319.88319.88319.88319.88319.88319.88
利润总额1,473.141,573.361,673.571,773.791,874.001,974.222,024.322,024.322,024.322,024.322,024.32
所得税率25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%
所得税368.29393.34418.39443.45468.50493.55506.08506.08506.08506.08506.08

净利润1,104.861,180.021,255.181,330.341,405.501,480.661,518.241,518.241,518.241,518.241,518.24
折旧与摊销1,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.501,453.50
资本性支出           
借款变动-1,530.00-1,530.00-1,530.00-1,530.00-1,530.00-1,530.00-----
股权现金流1,028.361,103.521,178.681,253.841,329.001,404.162,971.742,971.742,971.742,971.742,971.74
折现率(r)8.83%8.48%8.13%7.79%7.44%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%
折现系数0.310.280.260.240.230.210.200.180.170.160.15
折现值317.30313.88310.04305.99301.88297.84588.61549.64513.25479.28447.55
折现值加和           
年金永续           
NPV2           
总投资           
造价(千)/万千瓦           

发电四期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司

经营周期Year1Year2Year3Year4Year5Year6Year7Year8Year9Year10
电站总容量 4.054.054.054.054.054.054.054.054.05
有效利用小时 1,950.0019501950195019501950195019501950
发电量 7,897.507897.57897.57897.57897.57897.57897.57897.57897.5
线损 2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%
上网电量 7,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.98
单价0.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.49
营业收入 3,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.68
折旧与摊销 1,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.81
其他营业成本135.00546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75
贷款额22,781.2521,262.5019,743.7518,225.0016,706.2515,187.5013,668.7512,150.0010,631.259,112.50
财务费用 1,442.431,342.951,243.481,144.001,044.52945.04845.56746.09646.61
税金附加10%54.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.21
补贴收入 317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53
利润总额 567.01666.48765.96865.44964.921,064.401,163.871,263.351,362.83
所得税率 0%0%0%12.50%12.50%12.50%25%25%25%
所得税 ---108.18120.61133.05290.97315.84340.71

净利润 567.01666.48765.96757.26844.30931.35872.91947.511,022.12
折旧与摊销 1,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.81
资本性支出30,375.00         
借款变动22,781.25-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75
股权现金流-7,593.75491.07590.55690.02681.32768.37855.41796.97871.58946.19
折现率(r)14.05%13.58%13.12%12.66%11.55%11.15%10.74%9.87%9.52%9.18%
折现系数0.880.770.680.610.540.490.440.400.370.34
折现值-6,658.42379.09403.01418.00369.98375.40377.38320.01319.53317.73
折现值加和1,014.40         
年金永续1,194.26         
NPV2367.15         
总投资30,375.00         
造价(千)/万千瓦7,500.00         

发电四期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司(续)

经营周期Year11Year12Year13Year14Year15Year16Year17Year18Year19Year20Year21
电站总容量4.054.054.054.054.054.054.054.054.054.054.05
有效利用小时19501950195019501950195019501950195019501950
发电量7897.57897.57897.57897.57897.57897.57897.57897.57897.57897.57897.5
线损2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%
上网电量7,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.98
单价0.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.49
营业收入3,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.68
折旧与摊销1,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.81
其他营业成本546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75
贷款额7,593.756,075.004,556.253,037.501,518.75-     
财务费用547.13447.65348.17248.70149.2249.74-----
税金附加54.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.21
补贴收入317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53
利润总额1,462.311,561.791,661.271,760.741,860.221,959.702,009.442,009.442,009.442,009.442,009.44
所得税率25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%
所得税365.58390.45415.32440.19465.06489.92502.36502.36502.36502.36502.36

净利润1,096.731,171.341,245.951,320.561,395.171,469.771,507.081,507.081,507.081,507.081,507.08
折旧与摊销1,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.81
资本性支出           
借款变动-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-----
股权现金流1,020.791,095.401,170.011,244.621,319.231,393.842,949.892,949.892,949.892,949.892,949.89
折现率(r)8.83%8.48%8.13%7.79%7.44%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%
折现系数0.310.280.260.240.230.210.200.180.170.160.15
折现值314.97311.57307.76303.74299.66295.65584.28545.60509.48475.75444.26
折现值加和           
年金永续           
NPV2           
总投资           
造价(千)/万千瓦           

发电五期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司

经营周期Year1Year2Year3Year4Year5Year6Year7Year8Year9Year10
电站总容量 4.054.054.054.054.054.054.054.054.05
有效利用小时 1,950.0019501950195019501950195019501950
发电量 7,897.507897.57897.57897.57897.57897.57897.57897.57897.5
线损 2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%
上网电量 7,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.98
单价0.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.49
营业收入 3,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.68
折旧与摊销 1,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.81
其他营业成本135.00546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75
贷款额22,781.2521,262.5019,743.7518,225.0016,706.2515,187.5013,668.7512,150.0010,631.259,112.50
财务费用 1,442.431,342.951,243.481,144.001,044.52945.04845.56746.09646.61
税金附加10%54.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.21
补贴收入 317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53
利润总额 567.01666.48765.96865.44964.921,064.401,163.871,263.351,362.83
所得税率 0%0%0%12.50%12.50%12.50%25%25%25%
所得税 ---108.18120.61133.05290.97315.84340.71

净利润 567.01666.48765.96757.26844.30931.35872.91947.511,022.12
折旧与摊销 1,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.81
资本性支出30,375.00         
借款变动22,781.25-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75
股权现金流-7,593.75491.07590.55690.02681.32768.37855.41796.97871.58946.19
折现率(r)14.05%13.58%13.12%12.66%11.55%11.15%10.74%9.87%9.52%9.18%
折现系数0.880.770.680.610.540.490.440.400.370.34
折现值-6,658.42379.09403.01418.00369.98375.40377.38320.01319.53317.73
折现值加和1,014.40         
年金永续1,194.26         
NPV2318.24         
总投资30,375.00         
造价(千)/万千瓦7,500.00         

发电五期第二阶段收益法评估现金流量预测表——阿左旗分公司(续表)

经营周期Year11Year12Year13Year14Year15Year16Year17Year18Year19Year20Year21
电站总容量4.054.054.054.054.054.054.054.054.054.054.05
有效利用小时19501950195019501950195019501950195019501950
发电量7897.57897.57897.57897.57897.57897.57897.57897.57897.57897.57897.5
线损2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%2.91%
上网电量7,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.987,667.98
单价0.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.490.49
营业收入3,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.683,735.68
折旧与摊销1,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.81
其他营业成本546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75546.75
贷款额7,593.756,075.004,556.253,037.501,518.75-     
财务费用547.13447.65348.17248.70149.2249.74-----
税金附加54.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.2154.21
补贴收入317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53317.53
利润总额1,462.311,561.791,661.271,760.741,860.221,959.702,009.442,009.442,009.442,009.442,009.44
所得税率25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%25%
所得税365.58390.45415.32440.19465.06489.92502.36502.36502.36502.36502.36

净利润1,096.731,171.341,245.951,320.561,395.171,469.771,507.081,507.081,507.081,507.081,507.08
折旧与摊销1,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.811,442.81
资本性支出           
借款变动-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-1,518.75-----
股权现金流1,020.791,095.401,170.011,244.621,319.231,393.842,949.892,949.892,949.892,949.892,949.89
折现率(r)8.83%8.48%8.13%7.79%7.44%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%7.09%
折现系数0.310.280.260.240.230.210.200.180.170.160.15
折现值314.97311.57307.76303.74299.66295.65584.28545.60509.48475.75444.26
折现值加和           
年金永续           
NPV2           
总投资           
造价(千)/万千瓦           

5、贺兰山风电厂

(1)成本法评估情况

在持续经营前提下,贺兰山风电厂于评估基准日的总资产账面价值为52,341.96万元,评估价值为51,668.47万元,减值额为673.48万元,减值率为1.29%;总负债账面价值为37,364.07万元,评估价值为37,364.07万元,增值额0.00万元,增值率0.00%;净资产账面价值为14,977.89万元,净资产评估价值为14,304.40万元,减值额为673.48万元,减值率为4.50%。各类资产及负债评估结果见下表:

单位:万元

项目账面价值评估价值增减值增值率(%)
1流动资产3,193.533,193.53--
2非流动资产49,148.4348,474.94-673.48-1.37
3其中:投资性房地产    
4固定资产16,677.2415,824.61-852.63-5.11
5在建工程32,339.3032,339.30--
6工程物资    
7无形资产118.51297.66179.15151.17
8长期待摊费用13.3813.38--
9递延所得税资产    
10其他非流动资产    
11资产总计52,341.9651,668.47-673.49-1.29
12流动负债5,264.075,264.07--
13非流动负债32,100.0032,100.00--
14负债合计37,364.0737,364.07--
15股东全部权益14,977.8914,304.40-673.49-4.50

本次评估未考虑评估增值可能产生的所得税对净资产价值的影响。

(2)收益法评估结果

在持续经营前提下,贺兰山风电厂于评估基准日审计后的净资产账面价值14,977.89万元,收益法评估值15,610.69万元,增值额632.80万元,增值率4.22%。

(3)评估结论的确定

贺兰山风电厂在持续经营假设前提下具有独立获利能力,而成本法主要反映的是单个资产价值的简单加和,没有考虑各单项资产带来的协同效应,同时忽略了企业的盈利能力等因素。因此以收益法的评估结果作为最终评估结论,能够更加客观反映被评估单位的企业价值,恰当服务于本次评估目的。所以,本次评估以收益法的评估结果作为最终的评估结论,贺兰山风电厂净资产评估结果为15,353.76万元。

(4)收益法评估结果与成本法评估结果比较

收益法评估结果比成本法评估结果多1,306.29万元,原因如下:

①成本法评估思路是各单项资产重置建造成本的加和,收益法评估思路认为被评估单位各单项资产有机结合,发挥协同效应并创造稳定收益,收益法评估是通过对被评估单位未来收益进行折现反映被评估单位客观价值。评估途径的差异,是导致评估结果不同的原因之一。

②被评估单位开展风电业务较早,一方面,风场建造成本相对较高;另一方面,被评估单位各风场选址好,占据了有利的风力资源条件,所选风场全年均可发电,年平均发电小时较多,年上网电量也较高。被评估单位所处风场较好,是两种评估方法结果差异原因之一。

(5)成本法评估结果与账面值差异的分析

成本法评估结果较账面价值减值673.49万元,减值率4.50%,减值原因如下:

①房屋建筑物类资产:评估原值增值769.93万元,增值率44.49%;评估净值增值518.65万元,增值率42.27%。评估值增值原因如下:

a.本次评估的建(构)筑物主要建于2006年,由于建设年代较早,房屋构筑物的建设成本较低,而近年来当地的建筑材料价格及人工成本等持续走高,造成房屋建筑物及构筑物的建筑成本不断提高。

b.建(构)筑物的实际耐用年限长于会计的折旧年限,且被评估单位对房屋建筑物的维护状态较好,综合成新率较账面成新率高。

②设备类资产:评估原值减值3,926.42万元,减值率16.16%;评估净值减值1,371.28万元,减值率8.88%。主要原因如下:

a.机器设备:评估原值减值3,877.83万元,减值率16.05%,减值的主要原因是随着风力发电机组的国产化,当前风机的市场价格比企业原始购置成本大幅下降;评估净值减值1,380.17万元,减值率8.97%,评估原值减值是评估净值减值的主要原因。

b.车辆:评估原值减值2.38万元,减值率3.71%,减值的主要原因是车辆的市场价格不断下跌;评估净值增值8,98万元,增值率19.24%,评估净值增值是企业计提折旧年限短于评估采用的经济寿命年限所致。

c.电子设备:评估原值减值46.21万元,减值率61.38%,减值的主要原因一是电子设备市场价格逐年走低,二是部分逾龄电子设备在评估中按二手价评估;评估净值减值0.10万元,减值率0.41%,主要受评估原值减值的影响。

③无形资产—土地使用权:评估增值179.15万元,增值率151.16%。根据宁夏恒正不动产评估咨询有限公司出具的《土地估价报告》,本次土地使用权评估增值,主要是纳入评估范围的宁国用(2013)第60076号、第60077号两宗土地2006年12月取得出让手续,青国用(2013)第60078号、第60069号土地分别于2010年10月和2013年5月取得出让手续。被评估单位取得宗地时,周围区域比较荒凉,位置偏僻、市政配套差,原始取得成本主要为出让金,每平方米单价分别为42.12元、10元、25元、86元,随着当地经济发展,委估宗地区域市政配套逐渐完善,所属区域评估基准日的基准地价达到86元/平方米,委估宗地也达到了三通一平状态,本次评估对委估宗地设定为出让条件下计算的评估值,上述几方面因素,使得委估宗地的土地使用权评估增值较大。

(6)预测期的现金流量情况(表中金额单位为万元)

收益法评估现金流量预测表——贺兰山发电厂

项目2013年6-12月2014年2015年2016年2017年2018年2019年2020年2021年2022年2023年
一、营业收入1,314.536,540.766,540.766,540.766,540.766,540.766,540.766,540.766,540.766,540.766,540.76
减:营业成本1,020.943,373.903,395.833,418.853,443.023,468.403,468.403,468.403,468.403,468.403,468.40
其他业务成本------     
税金及附加----65.5465.4865.4865.4865.4865.4865.48
营业费用           
管理费用96.40205.60214.63224.11234.07244.52244.52244.52244.52244.52244.52
财务费用344.302,652.192,585.412,388.912,177.681,941.881,701.161,459.901,232.841,062.54887.33
资产减值损失           
加:公允变动净损益           
投资收益           
二、营业利润(147.10)309.07344.89508.89620.46820.491,061.201,302.461,529.521,699.821,875.04
加:营业外收入7.0020.00--269.41545.65545.65545.65545.65545.65545.65
减:营业外支出------     
三、利润总额(140.10)329.07344.89508.89889.871,366.141,606.851,848.112,075.182,245.482,420.69
所得税税率15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%25%25%25%
减:所得税(23.08)49.3651.7376.33133.48204.92241.03277.22518.79561.37605.17
四、净利润-117.03279.71293.16432.55756.391,161.221,365.821,570.891,556.381,684.111,815.52
加:折旧及摊销759.902,935.402,935.402,935.402,935.402,935.402,935.402,935.402,935.402,935.402,935.40
抵扣设备增值税流入223.471,111.931,111.931,111.93553.47      
减:资本性支出1,613.0519.2019.2019.2019.2019.2019.2019.2019.2019.2019.20
营运资本追加额(709.15)545.56(8.36)(34.85)(13.61)(32.15)(51.15)(51.27)3.63(31.93)(32.85)
五、自由现金流量(37.57)3,762.284,329.654,495.534,239.664,109.564,333.174,538.364,468.954,632.244,764.57
加:借款增加额5,000.002,500.00-3,000.00-3,000.00-3,600.00-3,600.00-3,800.00-3,800.00-2,600.00-2,600.00-2,800.00
减:借款减少额           
六、股权现金流量4,962.436,262.281,329.651,495.53639.66509.56533.17738.361,868.952,032.241,964.57
折现率(r)12.39%12.71%12.32%11.93%11.46%10.99%10.49%10.00%9.39%9.09%8.77%
折现期数(n)0.581.582.583.584.585.586.587.588.589.5810.58
折现系数0.930.830.740.660.590.530.480.440.400.370.34
第一阶段折现值4,635.625,189.95981.07985.85378.31271.52257.12323.71749.03746.58663.53
第一阶段回收残值           
七、未来净现金流量折现值           
加:非经营性资产评估值           
溢余资产           
减:非经营性负债评估值           
八、股东全部权益价值           
账面值           
增值额           

(下转B12版)

发表评论:

财苑热评:

   第A001版:头 版(今日84版)
   第A002版:要 闻
   第A003版:专 栏
   第A004版:环 球
   第A005版:机 构
   第A006版:信 托
   第A007版:基 金
   第A008版:评 论
   第A009版:公 司
   第A010版:公 司
   第A011版:数 据
   第A012版:公 司
   第A013版:市 场
   第A014版:动 向
   第A015版:期 货
   第A016版:个 股
   第B001版:B叠头版:信息披露
   第B002版:行 情
   第B003版:数 据
   第B004版:信息披露
   第B005版:信息披露
   第B006版:信息披露
   第B007版:信息披露
   第B008版:信息披露
   第B009版:信息披露
   第B010版:信息披露
   第B011版:信息披露
   第B012版:信息披露
   第B013版:信息披露
   第B014版:信息披露
   第B015版:信息披露
   第B016版:信息披露
   第B017版:信息披露
   第B018版:信息披露
   第B019版:信息披露
   第B020版:信息披露
   第B021版:信息披露
   第B022版:信息披露
   第B023版:信息披露
   第B024版:信息披露
   第B025版:信息披露
   第B026版:信息披露
   第B027版:信息披露
   第B028版:信息披露
   第B029版:信息披露
   第B030版:信息披露
   第B031版:信息披露
   第B032版:信息披露
   第B033版:信息披露
   第B034版:信息披露
   第B035版:信息披露
   第B036版:信息披露
   第B037版:信息披露
   第B038版:信息披露
   第B039版:信息披露
   第B040版:信息披露
   第B041版:信息披露
   第B042版:信息披露
   第B043版:信息披露
   第B044版:信息披露
   第B045版:信息披露
   第B046版:信息披露
   第B047版:信息披露
   第B048版:信息披露
   第B049版:信息披露
   第B050版:信息披露
   第B051版:信息披露
   第B052版:信息披露
   第B053版:信息披露
   第B054版:信息披露
   第B055版:信息披露
   第B056版:信息披露
   第B057版:信息披露
   第B058版:信息披露
   第B059版:信息披露
   第B060版:信息披露
   第B061版:信息披露
   第B062版:信息披露
   第B063版:信息披露
   第B064版:信息披露
   第B065版:信息披露
   第B066版:信息披露
   第B067版:信息披露
   第B068版:信息披露
宁夏银星能源股份有限公司发行股份购买资产并募集配套资金暨关联交易报告书摘要

2014-02-12

信息披露